NAM
GFS
As you can see by these 3 models each one is valid for 6:00pm on Thursday. The NAM is a little slower and drier than the GFS, and the Canadian model shows the system tapping into a little more Gulf moisture. For all the snow lovers (like myself)lets all hope that is the case. There is a possibility that we may start out as sleet up here in the Tennessee Valley the change over to snow. Whatever the case it looks like it should be over and done sometime on Friday. It doe not matter if we get 1 inch or 5 inches with the temps as cold as they are the ground is frozen and roads could become slick. When the models come out on Tuesday we should have a real grasp on where the heavier amounts could be.
We get an inch (or more) of snow on the ground and model temperatures will steer downward making a memorable few mornings later this week. ;-)
ReplyDeleteModel input is showing about 0.20" of rain that would translate into about 2-3" of snow. Just remember that with snow events in Alabama we cannot rely on model runs we must use the ensembles for more accurate predictions. I am expecting about 4"+ in the Tennessee Valley
ReplyDeleteI hope some of that hits Birmingham metro area. I would love a day or 2 off work.
ReplyDeleteNew models out today (Tuesday) looks as if Birmingham might just be out of the heavier stuff, It looks to be south of Birmingham. That may change again though. You can expect atlaest 1" for sure.
ReplyDeleteWhat's the best guess based on latest runs of regional snow? Bham compared to Hsv and Nash
ReplyDeleteI am posting the lates GFS now Please read Post. Thank you for following.
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