2" of snow/sleet/ice can be expected. Here is the NWS office text.
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
922 AM CST FRI JAN 29 2010
ALZ006-007-292330-
/O.UPG.KHUN.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-100130T1500Z/
/O.EXA.KHUN.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-100130T1800Z/
MADISON-MORGAN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HUNTSVILLE...DECATUR
922 AM CST FRI JAN 29 2010
...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST SATURDAY...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HUNTSVILLE HAS ISSUED A WINTER
STORM WARNING FOR SNOW AND MIXED PRECIPITATION...WHICH IS IN
EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST SATURDAY. THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NO
LONGER IN EFFECT.
A POTENT STORM SYSTEM WILL TRACK ACROSS THE DEEP SOUTH TODAY
THROUGH SATURDAY...SPREADING PRECIPITATION NORTHWARD ACROSS THE
TENNESSEE VALLEY. A MIXTURE OF FREEZING RAIN...SLEET...AND SNOW WILL
CONTINUE...WITH A CHANGE OVER TO MOSTLY RAIN...SLEET AND SNOW THIS
AFTERNOON.
AS TEMPERATURES SLOWLY RISE DURING THE AFTERNOON INTO THE
EVENING...A GRADUAL CHANGE OVER TO PRIMARILY RAIN AND SLEET IS
EXPECTED TONIGHT.
WITH COLD AIR WRAPPING AROUND THE BACK SIDE OF THE DEPARTING
SYSTEM ON SATURDAY MORNING...FREEZING TEMPERATURES WILL ALLOW FOR
THE POSSIBILITY OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN AND FREEZING DRIZZLE ON
SATURDAY MORNING.
TOTAL SLEET AND SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF TWO INCHES ARE POSSIBLE WITH
ICE ACCUMULATIONS AROUND ONE TENTH OF AN INCH OR LESS BEFORE
NOON SATURDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN NEAR FREEZING THROUGHOUT
THE REMAINDER OF SATURDAY...SO HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS ARE
LIKELY TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL
VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.
&&
$$
ALZ001>005-292330-
/O.UPG.KHUN.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-100130T1200Z/
/O.EXA.KHUN.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-100130T1800Z/
LAUDERDALE-COLBERT-FRANKLIN AL-LAWRENCE-LIMESTONE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLORENCE...MUSCLE SHOALS...
RUSSELLVILLE...MOULTON...ATHENS
922 AM CST FRI JAN 29 2010
...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST SATURDAY...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HUNTSVILLE HAS ISSUED A WINTER
STORM WARNING FOR SNOW AND MIXED PRECIPITATION...WHICH IS IN
EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST SATURDAY. THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NO
LONGER IN EFFECT.
A POTENT STORM SYSTEM WILL TRACK ACROSS THE DEEP SOUTH TODAY
THROUGH SATURDAY...SPREADING PRECIPITATION NORTHWARD ACROSS THE
TENNESSEE VALLEY. A MIXTURE OF FREEZING RAIN...SLEET...AND SNOW WILL
CONTINUE...WITH A CHANGE OVER TO MOSTLY RAIN...SLEET AND SNOW THIS
AFTERNOON.
AS TEMPERATURES SLOWLY RISE DURING THE AFTERNOON INTO THE
EVENING...A GRADUAL CHANGE OVER TO PRIMARILY RAIN AND SLEET IS
EXPECTED TONIGHT.
WITH COLD AIR WRAPPING AROUND THE BACK SIDE OF THE DEPARTING
SYSTEM ON SATURDAY MORNING...FREEZING TEMPERATURES WILL ALLOW FOR
THE POSSIBILITY OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN AND FREEZING DRIZZLE ON
SATURDAY MORNING.
TOTAL SLEET AND SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF TWO INCHES ARE POSSIBLE WITH
ICE ACCUMULATIONS AROUND ONE TENTH OF AN INCH OR LESS POSSIBLE
BEFORE NOON SATURDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN NEAR FREEZING
THROUGHOUT THE REMAINDER OF SATURDAY...SO HAZARDOUS TRAVEL
CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.
&&
$$
TNZ076-096-097-292330-
/O.CON.KHUN.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-100130T1800Z/
MOORE-LINCOLN-FRANKLIN TN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LYNCHBURG...FAYETTEVILLE...WINCHESTER
922 AM CST FRI JAN 29 2010
...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST
SATURDAY...
A POTENT STORM SYSTEM WILL TRACK ACROSS THE DEEP SOUTH TODAY
THROUGH SATURDAY...SPREADING PRECIPITATION NORTHWARD ACROSS THE
TENNESSEE VALLEY. WITH A COLD AIRMASS ALREADY IN PLACE...THE
PRECIPITATION WILL CONTINUE AS A MIXTURE OF FREEZING RAIN...
SLEET...AND SNOW LATE THIS MORNING IN SOUTHERN MIDDLE TENNESSEE...
WITH A GRADUAL CHANGEOVER TO PREDOMINANTLY SLEET AND SNOW THIS
AFTERNOON.
COMBINED ACCUMULATIONS OF SLEET AND SNOW OF TWO TO THREE INCHES
ARE POSSIBLE MAINLY THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...ALTHOUGH SOME
MINOR ACCUMULATION OF ICE DUE TO FREEZING RAIN CANNOT BE RULED
OUT.
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY RISE THIS EVENING INTO THE
EARLY MORNING HOURS OF SATURDAY...ALLOWING A CHANGE OVER
PRIMARILY TO RAIN AND FREEZING RAIN AFTER MIDNIGHT. THEN...
TEMPERATURES SHOULD FALL TO THE FREEZING MARK AGAIN BY DAYBREAK
SATURDAY MORNING...WITH LIGHT FREEZING RAIN AND FREEZING DRIZZLE
CONTINUING ACROSS THE AREA. ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS OF ICE
AROUND ONE TENTH OF AN INCH OR LESS WILL BE POSSIBLE BY DAYBREAK
SATURDAY.
TEMPERATURES ARE NOT FORECAST TO CLIMB ABOVE FREEZING FOR THE
REMAINDER OF SATURDAY...SO HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY
TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL
VERY HAZARDOUS.
&&
$$
ALZ008>010-016-292330-
/O.EXT.KHUN.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-100130T2100Z/
MARSHALL-JACKSON-DEKALB-CULLMAN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GUNTERSVILLE...SCOTTSBORO...
FORT PAYNE...CULLMAN
922 AM CST FRI JAN 29 2010
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM CST
SATURDAY...
AS TEMPERATURES SLOWLY RISE DURING THE AFTERNOON INTO THE
EVENING...A GRADUAL CHANGE OVER TO PRIMARILY RAIN AND SLEET IS
EXPECTED TONIGHT.
WITH COLD AIR WRAPPING AROUND THE BACK SIDE OF THE DEPARTING
SYSTEM ON SATURDAY MORNING...A CHANGE OVER BACK TO LIGHT FREEZING
RAIN AND FREEZING DRIZZLE IS EXPECTED ON SATURDAY MORNING. ICE
ACCUMULATIONS AROUND ONE TENTH OF AN INCH OR LESS WILL BE
POSSIBLE BEFORE 3 PM SATURDAY.
TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN NEAR FREEZING THROUGHOUT THE REMAINDER
OF SATURDAY...SO HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY TO
CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.
Friday, January 29, 2010
Quick Update
Well the cold air is in place and getting colder. I woke this morning with temps at 33.2° now I am at 32.0°. We have had the first accumulation reports come in from NW Alabama in Cherokee with 1/2" of sleet on the ground. The NWS office In Memphis now has its counties in North Mississippi under a Winter Storm Warning as at least 3/4" of ice is possible. I honestly feel like portions of North Alabama will be placed under some type of Winter Storm Warning later today. Some local meteorologists are saying parts of North Alabama could see up to 1/2" of ICE today and tonight. Stay tuned.
Thursday, January 28, 2010
Here It Comes.
New models this evening and now the trend appears that the Low looks to be heading a bit further south with the main system and a bit colder as well. This means that during the past day or so the system had been moving a bit further north with the low moving out of Louisiana along I-20 in Alabama and then east towards Georgia. That meant it would most likely have remained mainly rain from Mississippi into Northern Alabama and Georgia during the heaviest precipitation. Now during this same time, the ECMWF (Euro) model had been a bit of an odd man out (so to speak)with the track hugging the northern Gulf coast and indicating the potential for more frozen precipitation further south to near the Tennessee River. The freeze line now looks to dip below the Tennessee/Alabama state line and the NAM shows the Precipitation moving into NW Alabama around noon on Friday and then moving East throughout the afternoon likely as freezing rain. The freezing line should make it near the Tennessee River by 3:00pm and then start moving back to the North.Some models are showing a heavy band of snow from near Highway 72 up towards Nashville. This is not in stone YET all it takes is a jog of the LOW of just a few miles for it all to change again, but it is getting more and more consistent. Stay tuned to local news for the Latest.
Winter Weather Advisory Issued
..WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM FRIDAY TO 9 AM CST
SATURDAY...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HUNTSVILLE HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR A MIX OF FREEZING RAIN...SLEET AND SNOW...
WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM FRIDAY TO 9 AM CST SATURDAY.
A POTENT STORM SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST
AND MOVE ACROSS THE DEEP SOUTH ON FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. PRECIPITATION
AHEAD OF THIS STORM WILL GRADUALLY OVERSPREAD NORTH CENTRAL ALABAMA
BY FRIDAY MID MORNING...ESPECIALLY THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
PRECIPITATION WILL BEGIN AS RAIN AND THEN CHANGE OVER TO A MIXTURE
OF FREEZING RAIN...SLEET AND SNOW...BEFORE A CHANGEOVER TO MOSTLY
SNOW AND SLEET OCCURS AFTER MIDNIGHT FRIDAY NIGHT AND CONTINUES
THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. SEVERAL HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH OF ICE
ACCUMULATION...ALONG WITH A LIGHT DUSTING OF SLEET OR SNOW WILL
BE POSSIBLE.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.
Stay tuned to local news, spotter reports, or weather bloggers.
SATURDAY...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HUNTSVILLE HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR A MIX OF FREEZING RAIN...SLEET AND SNOW...
WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM FRIDAY TO 9 AM CST SATURDAY.
A POTENT STORM SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST
AND MOVE ACROSS THE DEEP SOUTH ON FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. PRECIPITATION
AHEAD OF THIS STORM WILL GRADUALLY OVERSPREAD NORTH CENTRAL ALABAMA
BY FRIDAY MID MORNING...ESPECIALLY THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
PRECIPITATION WILL BEGIN AS RAIN AND THEN CHANGE OVER TO A MIXTURE
OF FREEZING RAIN...SLEET AND SNOW...BEFORE A CHANGEOVER TO MOSTLY
SNOW AND SLEET OCCURS AFTER MIDNIGHT FRIDAY NIGHT AND CONTINUES
THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. SEVERAL HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH OF ICE
ACCUMULATION...ALONG WITH A LIGHT DUSTING OF SLEET OR SNOW WILL
BE POSSIBLE.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.
Stay tuned to local news, spotter reports, or weather bloggers.
WINTRY MIX UPDATE
A LIGHT MIX OF FREEZING RAIN OR SLEET WILL BE POSSIBLE EARLY FRIDAY MORNING IN NORTHWESTERN ALABAMA AS A STORM SYSTEM DEVELOPS IN THE
NORTHERN GULF AND TRACKS EASTWARD AND LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS OF SOME ICE MAY BE POSSIBLE IN EXTREME NORTH ALABAMA. AS THE DAY GOES ON TEMPS SHOULD WARM AND ALL PRECIPITATION SHOULD TURN TO ALL RAIN AS WE COULD SEE 1-2 INCHES OF RAIN IN NORTH ALABAMA. A GRADUAL CHANGEOVER TO SLEET AND SNOW IS POSSIBLE FRIDAY NIGHT WITH MAINLY LIGHT FREEZING RAIN AND FREEZING DRIZZLE
EXPECTED OVERNIGHT FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY MORNING. LIGHT
ACCUMULATIONS OF ICE AND SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE FRIDAY INTO
SATURDAY MORNING. WE ARE WATCHING ANOTHER SYSTEM THAT MAY BRING ANOTHER CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW TO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY ON MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING.
STAY TUNED FOR FURTHER INFORMATION
NORTHERN GULF AND TRACKS EASTWARD AND LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS OF SOME ICE MAY BE POSSIBLE IN EXTREME NORTH ALABAMA. AS THE DAY GOES ON TEMPS SHOULD WARM AND ALL PRECIPITATION SHOULD TURN TO ALL RAIN AS WE COULD SEE 1-2 INCHES OF RAIN IN NORTH ALABAMA. A GRADUAL CHANGEOVER TO SLEET AND SNOW IS POSSIBLE FRIDAY NIGHT WITH MAINLY LIGHT FREEZING RAIN AND FREEZING DRIZZLE
EXPECTED OVERNIGHT FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY MORNING. LIGHT
ACCUMULATIONS OF ICE AND SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE FRIDAY INTO
SATURDAY MORNING. WE ARE WATCHING ANOTHER SYSTEM THAT MAY BRING ANOTHER CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW TO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY ON MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING.
STAY TUNED FOR FURTHER INFORMATION
Special Weather Statement
Here is the NWS Special Weather Statement for the Huntsville area issued this morning Just before 5am.
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
453 AM CST THU JAN 28 2010
ALZ001>010-016-282230-
LAUDERDALE-COLBERT-FRANKLIN AL-LAWRENCE-LIMESTONE-MADISON-MORGAN-
MARSHALL-JACKSON-DEKALB-CULLMAN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLORENCE...MUSCLE SHOALS...RUSSELLVILLE...
MOULTON...ATHENS...HUNTSVILLE...DECATUR...GUNTERSVILLE...
SCOTTSBORO...FORT PAYNE...CULLMAN
453 AM CST THU JAN 28 2010
...WINTER STORM SYSTEM EXPECTED TO IMPACT THE TENNESSEE VALLEY
FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING...
A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP IN TEXAS AND MOVE ACROSS
THE GULF COASTAL PLAIN REGION ON FRIDAY INTO EARLY SATURDAY. AN
ARCTIC HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL SETTLE TO THE NORTH OF THE
REGION...ACTING AS A SOURCE OF COLD AIR FOR THE DEVELOPING STORM
SYSTEM. AS THE STORM TRACKS ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST...COLD AIR WILL
BE DRAWN ACROSS NORTHERN ALABAMA...SETTING THE STAGE FOR A WINTRY
MIX OF PRECIPITATION BEGINNING AS EARLY AS FRIDAY MORNING AND
LASTING THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING.
PRECIPITATION MAY BEGIN PRIMARILY AS FREEZING RAIN OR SLEET EARLY
FRIDAY MORNING IN NORTHWEST ALABAMA...WITH TEMPERATURES HOVERING
NEAR OR JUST BELOW FREEZING. A GRADUAL WARMUP WILL OCCUR DURING
THE MORNING HOWEVER...WITH TEMPERATURES LIKELY CLIMBING ABOVE
FREEZING BY LATE MORNING ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA. PRECIPITATION
WILL SPREAD EASTWARD ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHEASTERN ALABAMA
BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON...AND SHOULD PRIMARILY BE IN THE FORM OF RAIN.
HOWEVER...PRECIPITATION MAY BEGIN AS FREEZING RAIN OR SLEET
BRIEFLY AT THE ONSET IN THESE AREAS.
TEMPERATURES WILL FALL AGAIN BY LATE IN THE DAY...AS COLD AIR
BEGINS TO WRAP AROUND THE BACKSIDE OF THE SYSTEM. A GRADUAL
CHANGEOVER TO PRIMARILY FROZEN PRECIPITATION...INCLUDING SLEET AND
SNOW IS POSSIBLE ON THE BACK EDGE OF THE SYSTEM AS IT DEPARTS THE
AREA FRIDAY NIGHT. LIGHT SNOW OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS APPEAR
POSSIBLE MAINLY IN NORTHWESTERN AND FAR NORTHERN ALABAMA AT THIS
TIME. LIGHT FREEZING RAIN AND DRIZZLE WILL THEN BE POSSIBLE LATE
FRIDAY NIGHT AS THE SYSTEM MOVES OUT OF THE SOUTHEAST...AND A COLD
AIR MASS MOVES ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA. BLACK ICE MAY ALSO BE A
CONCERN DUE TO REMAINING WATER ON ROADS...BRIDGES...AND OVERPASSES.
TEMPERATURES ON SATURDAY MAY ONLY CLIMB ABOVE FREEZING FOR A FEW
HOURS WHICH MAY NOT ALLOW FOR SIGNIFICANT MELTING OF ANY
ACCUMULATIONS OF ICE OR SNOW. THUS...HAZARDOUS TRAVEL MAY CONTINUE
INTO THE WEEKEND.
SPECIFIC PRECIPITATION TYPE AND AMOUNTS WITH THIS STORM WILL BE
DEPENDENT ON MANY FACTORS INCLUDING THE EXACT TRACK OF THIS
STORM...WHICH REMAINS UNCERTAIN AT THIS TIME. THUS...KEEP ABREAST
OF THE LATEST FORECAST INFORMATION REGARDING THIS POTENTIAL WINTER
WEATHER SITUATION.
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
453 AM CST THU JAN 28 2010
ALZ001>010-016-282230-
LAUDERDALE-COLBERT-FRANKLIN AL-LAWRENCE-LIMESTONE-MADISON-MORGAN-
MARSHALL-JACKSON-DEKALB-CULLMAN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLORENCE...MUSCLE SHOALS...RUSSELLVILLE...
MOULTON...ATHENS...HUNTSVILLE...DECATUR...GUNTERSVILLE...
SCOTTSBORO...FORT PAYNE...CULLMAN
453 AM CST THU JAN 28 2010
...WINTER STORM SYSTEM EXPECTED TO IMPACT THE TENNESSEE VALLEY
FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING...
A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP IN TEXAS AND MOVE ACROSS
THE GULF COASTAL PLAIN REGION ON FRIDAY INTO EARLY SATURDAY. AN
ARCTIC HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL SETTLE TO THE NORTH OF THE
REGION...ACTING AS A SOURCE OF COLD AIR FOR THE DEVELOPING STORM
SYSTEM. AS THE STORM TRACKS ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST...COLD AIR WILL
BE DRAWN ACROSS NORTHERN ALABAMA...SETTING THE STAGE FOR A WINTRY
MIX OF PRECIPITATION BEGINNING AS EARLY AS FRIDAY MORNING AND
LASTING THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING.
PRECIPITATION MAY BEGIN PRIMARILY AS FREEZING RAIN OR SLEET EARLY
FRIDAY MORNING IN NORTHWEST ALABAMA...WITH TEMPERATURES HOVERING
NEAR OR JUST BELOW FREEZING. A GRADUAL WARMUP WILL OCCUR DURING
THE MORNING HOWEVER...WITH TEMPERATURES LIKELY CLIMBING ABOVE
FREEZING BY LATE MORNING ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA. PRECIPITATION
WILL SPREAD EASTWARD ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHEASTERN ALABAMA
BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON...AND SHOULD PRIMARILY BE IN THE FORM OF RAIN.
HOWEVER...PRECIPITATION MAY BEGIN AS FREEZING RAIN OR SLEET
BRIEFLY AT THE ONSET IN THESE AREAS.
TEMPERATURES WILL FALL AGAIN BY LATE IN THE DAY...AS COLD AIR
BEGINS TO WRAP AROUND THE BACKSIDE OF THE SYSTEM. A GRADUAL
CHANGEOVER TO PRIMARILY FROZEN PRECIPITATION...INCLUDING SLEET AND
SNOW IS POSSIBLE ON THE BACK EDGE OF THE SYSTEM AS IT DEPARTS THE
AREA FRIDAY NIGHT. LIGHT SNOW OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS APPEAR
POSSIBLE MAINLY IN NORTHWESTERN AND FAR NORTHERN ALABAMA AT THIS
TIME. LIGHT FREEZING RAIN AND DRIZZLE WILL THEN BE POSSIBLE LATE
FRIDAY NIGHT AS THE SYSTEM MOVES OUT OF THE SOUTHEAST...AND A COLD
AIR MASS MOVES ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA. BLACK ICE MAY ALSO BE A
CONCERN DUE TO REMAINING WATER ON ROADS...BRIDGES...AND OVERPASSES.
TEMPERATURES ON SATURDAY MAY ONLY CLIMB ABOVE FREEZING FOR A FEW
HOURS WHICH MAY NOT ALLOW FOR SIGNIFICANT MELTING OF ANY
ACCUMULATIONS OF ICE OR SNOW. THUS...HAZARDOUS TRAVEL MAY CONTINUE
INTO THE WEEKEND.
SPECIFIC PRECIPITATION TYPE AND AMOUNTS WITH THIS STORM WILL BE
DEPENDENT ON MANY FACTORS INCLUDING THE EXACT TRACK OF THIS
STORM...WHICH REMAINS UNCERTAIN AT THIS TIME. THUS...KEEP ABREAST
OF THE LATEST FORECAST INFORMATION REGARDING THIS POTENTIAL WINTER
WEATHER SITUATION.
Wednesday, January 27, 2010
Updated Huntsville Tornado Track And Info.
PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
648 PM CST FRI JAN 27 2010
...UPDATED PRELIMINARY STORM SURVEY INFORMATION FROM MADISON
COUNTY...
...UPDATED BEGINNING POINT OF HUNTSVILLE TORNADO TRACK...
A PRELIMINARY STORM SURVEY OF THE DAMAGE INCURRED ACROSS MADISON
COUNTY HAS BEEN COMPLETED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AND LOCAL
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL. INITIAL FINDINGS ARE AS FOLLOWS:
* EVENT TYPE: TORNADO
* EVENT DATE: 01/21/2010
* ESTIMATED PEAK WIND: 115.0 MPH
* PRELIMINARY RATING: EF-2
* PATH LENGTH: 6.6 MILES
* MAXIMUM PATH WIDTH: 150 YARDS
* INJURIES: 3
* SUMMARY: AT 5:17 PM CST A TORNADO FIRST TOUCHED DOWN IN A
RESIDENTIAL DEVELOPMENT ON REDSTONE ARSENAL JUST NORTH OF GOSS
ROAD. A NARROW TORNADO PATH UPROOTED A LARGE TREE...THEN
PROCEEDED INTO A RESIDENTIAL AREA ALONG MAGNOLIA CIRCLE. IN THIS
LOCATION...THE TORNADO TORE SHINGLES OFF OF ROOFS AND RIPPED
SIDING OFF SEVERAL HOMES. THE TORNADO THEN LIFTED BRIEFLY BEFORE
TOUCHING DOWN AGAIN NEAR THE INTERSECTION OF TRIANA BLVD AND 9TH
AVE IN HUNTSVILLE. FROM THERE...IT PROCEEDED NORTHEAST FOR AN
ADDITIONAL 4.4 MILES...THROUGH OLD TOWN AND THE FIVE POINTS AREA
BEFORE LIFTING NEAR THE INTERSECTION OF GABOURY LN AND ROSALIE
RIDGE RD NEAR CHAPMAN MOUNTAIN. ALONG THE WAY...MANY HARD AND
SOFTWOOD TREES WERE SNAPPED...AS WERE SEVERAL WOODEN UTILITY
POLES. MULTIPLE WELL-BUILT SINGLE FAMILY HOMES SUSTAINED
SUBSTANTIAL ROOF DAMAGE...BOTH FROM TORNADIC WINDS AND FALLEN
TREES.
THESE FINDINGS ARE PRELIMINARY AND ARE SUBJECT TO ADJUSTMENT.
PICTURES AND SUMMARY MATERIALS WILL BE MADE AVAILABLE ON OUR WEB
PAGE AT WEATHER.GOV/HUNTSVILLE /ALL LOWER CASE/.
SURVEYED BY: COYNE/LEE
AMENDED SURVEY BY: NADLER/KULA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
648 PM CST FRI JAN 27 2010
...UPDATED PRELIMINARY STORM SURVEY INFORMATION FROM MADISON
COUNTY...
...UPDATED BEGINNING POINT OF HUNTSVILLE TORNADO TRACK...
A PRELIMINARY STORM SURVEY OF THE DAMAGE INCURRED ACROSS MADISON
COUNTY HAS BEEN COMPLETED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AND LOCAL
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL. INITIAL FINDINGS ARE AS FOLLOWS:
* EVENT TYPE: TORNADO
* EVENT DATE: 01/21/2010
* ESTIMATED PEAK WIND: 115.0 MPH
* PRELIMINARY RATING: EF-2
* PATH LENGTH: 6.6 MILES
* MAXIMUM PATH WIDTH: 150 YARDS
* INJURIES: 3
* SUMMARY: AT 5:17 PM CST A TORNADO FIRST TOUCHED DOWN IN A
RESIDENTIAL DEVELOPMENT ON REDSTONE ARSENAL JUST NORTH OF GOSS
ROAD. A NARROW TORNADO PATH UPROOTED A LARGE TREE...THEN
PROCEEDED INTO A RESIDENTIAL AREA ALONG MAGNOLIA CIRCLE. IN THIS
LOCATION...THE TORNADO TORE SHINGLES OFF OF ROOFS AND RIPPED
SIDING OFF SEVERAL HOMES. THE TORNADO THEN LIFTED BRIEFLY BEFORE
TOUCHING DOWN AGAIN NEAR THE INTERSECTION OF TRIANA BLVD AND 9TH
AVE IN HUNTSVILLE. FROM THERE...IT PROCEEDED NORTHEAST FOR AN
ADDITIONAL 4.4 MILES...THROUGH OLD TOWN AND THE FIVE POINTS AREA
BEFORE LIFTING NEAR THE INTERSECTION OF GABOURY LN AND ROSALIE
RIDGE RD NEAR CHAPMAN MOUNTAIN. ALONG THE WAY...MANY HARD AND
SOFTWOOD TREES WERE SNAPPED...AS WERE SEVERAL WOODEN UTILITY
POLES. MULTIPLE WELL-BUILT SINGLE FAMILY HOMES SUSTAINED
SUBSTANTIAL ROOF DAMAGE...BOTH FROM TORNADIC WINDS AND FALLEN
TREES.
THESE FINDINGS ARE PRELIMINARY AND ARE SUBJECT TO ADJUSTMENT.
PICTURES AND SUMMARY MATERIALS WILL BE MADE AVAILABLE ON OUR WEB
PAGE AT WEATHER.GOV/HUNTSVILLE /ALL LOWER CASE/.
SURVEYED BY: COYNE/LEE
AMENDED SURVEY BY: NADLER/KULA
No Changes Yet.
Ice probability valid 6am Friday-6am Saturday
Snow probability 6am Friday thru 6am Saturday
Notice the low end probability for snow does extend into North Alabama but that does not mean we will see 4" of snow here. The bulls eye will be in the Smokey Mountains. Our biggest threat still looks to be as the system moves out and we may see some bridge icing later on Friday as the colder air moves in.
Snow probability 6am Friday thru 6am Saturday
Notice the low end probability for snow does extend into North Alabama but that does not mean we will see 4" of snow here. The bulls eye will be in the Smokey Mountains. Our biggest threat still looks to be as the system moves out and we may see some bridge icing later on Friday as the colder air moves in.
Tuesday, January 26, 2010
Updated Models For Wintry Precipitation
likely precipitation type at 3am Friday
Areas of snow probability at 9am friday
Freezing rain potential by 3pm Friday
These are just forecast models that will change but they are as of the 0z run
Areas of snow probability at 9am friday
Freezing rain potential by 3pm Friday
These are just forecast models that will change but they are as of the 0z run
Special Weather Statement
Here is the NWS office in Huntsville take on the wintry mix potential.
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
236 PM CST TUE JAN 26 2010
ALZ001>010-016-TNZ076-096-097-271100-
LAUDERDALE-COLBERT-FRANKLIN AL-LAWRENCE-LIMESTONE-MADISON-MORGAN-
MARSHALL-JACKSON-DEKALB-CULLMAN-MOORE-LINCOLN-FRANKLIN TN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLORENCE...MUSCLE SHOALS...RUSSELLVILLE...
MOULTON...ATHENS...HUNTSVILLE...DECATUR...GUNTERSVILLE...
SCOTTSBORO...FORT PAYNE...CULLMAN...LYNCHBURG...FAYETTEVILLE...
WINCHESTER
236 PM CST TUE JAN 26 2010
...WINTRY MIX OF PRECIPITATION POSSIBLE LATE THIS WEEK...
A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF
COAST THURSDAY ALLOWING MOISTURE TO INCREASE ACROSS THE AREA. WITH A
SHALLOW COLD AIRMASS IN PLACE...A WINTRY MIX OF PRECIPITATION WILL
BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE TENNESSEE VALLEY BEGINNING AS EARLY AS
THURSDAY NIGHT...AND LASTING THROUGH SATURDAY AS THE LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM MOVES ACROSS THE DEEP SOUTH.
PRECIPITATION WILL CHANGE TO A LIGHT WINTRY MIX LATE THURSDAY NIGHT
AND INTO EARLY FRIDAY MORNING ESPECIALLY ACROSS AREAS NORTH OF THE
TENNESSEE RIVER. TEMPERATURES SHOULD RISE ABOVE FREEZING ACROSS MOST
AREAS ALLOWING ALL RAIN TO FALL DURING THE DAY ON FRIDAY. WITH
FREEZING TEMPERATURES NEARBY...A FEW LOCATIONS MAY BE AT OR SLIGHTLY
BELOW FREEZING DURING THE DAY ON FRIDAY ALLOWING A WINTRY MIX OF
PRECIPITATION TO CONTINUE.
AS COLDER AIR FILTERS INTO THE AREA...A MIXTURE OF LIGHT FREEZING
RAIN AND SLEET WILL DEVELOP FRIDAY EVENING ACROSS NORTHWEST
ALABAMA AND SPREAD EAST ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT
HOURS. THE WINTRY PRECIPITATION SHOULD END AS LIGHT SNOW FLURRIES
OR FREEZING DRIZZLE ON SATURDAY.
AT THIS TIME...ACCUMULATIONS AND TIMING REMAIN VERY UNCERTAIN AS
MODELS CONTINUE TO BE INCONSISTENT. ALTHOUGH CONFIDENCE REMAINS
LOW...PERSONS ACROSS THE TENNESSEE VALLEY ARE STRONGLY ENCOURAGED TO
MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS AS CHANGES MAY BECOME NECESSARY.
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
236 PM CST TUE JAN 26 2010
ALZ001>010-016-TNZ076-096-097-271100-
LAUDERDALE-COLBERT-FRANKLIN AL-LAWRENCE-LIMESTONE-MADISON-MORGAN-
MARSHALL-JACKSON-DEKALB-CULLMAN-MOORE-LINCOLN-FRANKLIN TN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLORENCE...MUSCLE SHOALS...RUSSELLVILLE...
MOULTON...ATHENS...HUNTSVILLE...DECATUR...GUNTERSVILLE...
SCOTTSBORO...FORT PAYNE...CULLMAN...LYNCHBURG...FAYETTEVILLE...
WINCHESTER
236 PM CST TUE JAN 26 2010
...WINTRY MIX OF PRECIPITATION POSSIBLE LATE THIS WEEK...
A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF
COAST THURSDAY ALLOWING MOISTURE TO INCREASE ACROSS THE AREA. WITH A
SHALLOW COLD AIRMASS IN PLACE...A WINTRY MIX OF PRECIPITATION WILL
BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE TENNESSEE VALLEY BEGINNING AS EARLY AS
THURSDAY NIGHT...AND LASTING THROUGH SATURDAY AS THE LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM MOVES ACROSS THE DEEP SOUTH.
PRECIPITATION WILL CHANGE TO A LIGHT WINTRY MIX LATE THURSDAY NIGHT
AND INTO EARLY FRIDAY MORNING ESPECIALLY ACROSS AREAS NORTH OF THE
TENNESSEE RIVER. TEMPERATURES SHOULD RISE ABOVE FREEZING ACROSS MOST
AREAS ALLOWING ALL RAIN TO FALL DURING THE DAY ON FRIDAY. WITH
FREEZING TEMPERATURES NEARBY...A FEW LOCATIONS MAY BE AT OR SLIGHTLY
BELOW FREEZING DURING THE DAY ON FRIDAY ALLOWING A WINTRY MIX OF
PRECIPITATION TO CONTINUE.
AS COLDER AIR FILTERS INTO THE AREA...A MIXTURE OF LIGHT FREEZING
RAIN AND SLEET WILL DEVELOP FRIDAY EVENING ACROSS NORTHWEST
ALABAMA AND SPREAD EAST ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT
HOURS. THE WINTRY PRECIPITATION SHOULD END AS LIGHT SNOW FLURRIES
OR FREEZING DRIZZLE ON SATURDAY.
AT THIS TIME...ACCUMULATIONS AND TIMING REMAIN VERY UNCERTAIN AS
MODELS CONTINUE TO BE INCONSISTENT. ALTHOUGH CONFIDENCE REMAINS
LOW...PERSONS ACROSS THE TENNESSEE VALLEY ARE STRONGLY ENCOURAGED TO
MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS AS CHANGES MAY BECOME NECESSARY.
Watching Thursday And Into Friday
A major winter storm is forecast now for areas north of Alabama and to the West. as of right now the SPC has Issued a winter storm watch for from Eastern New Mexico, All of Oklahoma,parts of Arkansas and Missouri, and the Northern Texas Panhandle. This watch could be extended even further east into Kentucky and Tennessee by Thursday. Right now with the 12z run the current forecast is right on track with the system bringing heavy snow north of I-40 including Memphis and Nashville. We could see a brief change from rain over to freezing rain and sleet late Thursday into Friday morning, but not expecting any real serious travel problems YET as we are expecting a cold rain of 1-2 inches. Then as the system heads east there could be enough moisture left behind as the colder air invades North Alabama and we could see some type of wintry mix over North Central Alabama and as temps hover just below freezing we could see some minimal bridge icing but do not expect it to be a big deal. Just remember in Alabama in the winter time expect the unexpected as the forecast may change again and again.
What a Difference a Week Makes
Well Alabama weather is one that can never be boring. 70 degree temps and a tornado in Huntsville last Thursday and now a chance (although right now it is slim) for some type of wintry mix by Friday night this week. Right now the GFS is showing a powerful snow or ice storm from near I-40 in Tennessee up to the North. Those living in the Nashville area need to take precautions and monitor this developing weather situation carefully. Around here in North Alabama right now it looks as if the coldest air will be coming in behind the rain we could see 1-2" of rainfall here in the Tennessee Valley. Then on Friday night the cold air will be very shallow and as it dips into Alabama we could see a brief change over to freezing rain, sleet and/or a few snow flakes mixed in. As of right now we do not expect much in the way of travel problems but the forecast will change many times over the next couple days. Those remember the Christmas week storm it looked as if we would get a good snowfall all the way up to the day before it started and everything changed over night. So with that said we will be fine tuning with every model run. The graphic is valid at noon Friday.
Saturday, January 23, 2010
Another Picture Of The Huntsville Tornado
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This was sent to me by my sister in law Anisa Graner via her friend Delana Barron. Very surreal. It was taken from Governors Drive with the Huntsville First Baptist Church in the foreground.
Friday, January 22, 2010
Public Information Statement On Huntsville Tornado
PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
223 PM CST FRI JAN 22 2010
...PRELIMINARY STORM SURVEY INFORMATION FROM MADISON COUNTY...
A PRELIMINARY STORM SURVEY OF THE DAMAGE INCURRED ACROSS MADISON
COUNTY HAS BEEN COMPLETED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AND LOCAL
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL. INITIAL FINDINGS ARE AS FOLLOWS:
* EVENT TYPE: TORNADO
* EVENT DATE: 01/21/2010
* ESTIMATED PEAK WIND: 115.0 MPH
* PRELIMINARY RATING: EF-2
* PATH LENGTH: 4.4 MILES
* MAXIMUM PATH WIDTH: 150 YARDS
* INJURIES: 3
* SUMMARY: AT 5:22 PM CST A TORNADO FIRST TOUCHED DOWN NEAR THE
INTERSECTION OF TRIANA BLVD AND 9TH AVE IN HUNTSVILLE. FROM
THERE...IT PROCEEDED NORTHEAST FOR 4.4 MILES...THROUGH OLD TOWN
AND THE FIVE POINTS AREA BEFORE LIFTING NEAR THE INTERSECTION OF
GABOURY LN AND ROSALIE RIDGE RD NEAR CHAPMAN MOUNTAIN. ALONG THE
WAY...MANY HARD AND SOFTWOOD TREES WERE SNAPPED...AS WERE
SEVERAL WOODEN UTILITY POLES. MULTIPLE WELL-BUILT SINGLE FAMILY
HOMES SUSTAINED SUBSTANTIAL ROOF DAMAGE...BOTH FROM TORNADIC
WINDS AND FALLEN TREES.
THESE FINDINGS ARE PRELIMINARY AND ARE SUBJECT TO ADJUSTMENT.
PICTURES AND SUMMARY MATERIALS WILL BE MADE AVAILABLE ON OUR WEB
PAGE AT WEATHER.GOV/HUNTSVILLE /ALL LOWER CASE/.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
223 PM CST FRI JAN 22 2010
...PRELIMINARY STORM SURVEY INFORMATION FROM MADISON COUNTY...
A PRELIMINARY STORM SURVEY OF THE DAMAGE INCURRED ACROSS MADISON
COUNTY HAS BEEN COMPLETED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AND LOCAL
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL. INITIAL FINDINGS ARE AS FOLLOWS:
* EVENT TYPE: TORNADO
* EVENT DATE: 01/21/2010
* ESTIMATED PEAK WIND: 115.0 MPH
* PRELIMINARY RATING: EF-2
* PATH LENGTH: 4.4 MILES
* MAXIMUM PATH WIDTH: 150 YARDS
* INJURIES: 3
* SUMMARY: AT 5:22 PM CST A TORNADO FIRST TOUCHED DOWN NEAR THE
INTERSECTION OF TRIANA BLVD AND 9TH AVE IN HUNTSVILLE. FROM
THERE...IT PROCEEDED NORTHEAST FOR 4.4 MILES...THROUGH OLD TOWN
AND THE FIVE POINTS AREA BEFORE LIFTING NEAR THE INTERSECTION OF
GABOURY LN AND ROSALIE RIDGE RD NEAR CHAPMAN MOUNTAIN. ALONG THE
WAY...MANY HARD AND SOFTWOOD TREES WERE SNAPPED...AS WERE
SEVERAL WOODEN UTILITY POLES. MULTIPLE WELL-BUILT SINGLE FAMILY
HOMES SUSTAINED SUBSTANTIAL ROOF DAMAGE...BOTH FROM TORNADIC
WINDS AND FALLEN TREES.
THESE FINDINGS ARE PRELIMINARY AND ARE SUBJECT TO ADJUSTMENT.
PICTURES AND SUMMARY MATERIALS WILL BE MADE AVAILABLE ON OUR WEB
PAGE AT WEATHER.GOV/HUNTSVILLE /ALL LOWER CASE/.
Peoples Questions
I have had alot of people ask me why they could not see the funnel all the way to the ground with the tornado in Huntsville. When a tornado develops it is consumed by dirt and debris, so when you see a large or even a weak tornado in the plains there is alot of dirt, clay, and debris when it touches down in a metro area such as Huntsville there is not that much loose dirt in the downtown area and that is one reason that the funnel was never visible all the way down. Anytime you see a funnel cloud look around the ground and see if you see any power flashes or even a little debris being thrown up in the air. Be sure before you report to EMA or NWS. Click the title for Waay31 live coverage of when it touched down and listen to the reports of it being just a funnel cloud.
Thursday, January 21, 2010
TORNADO HITS HUNTSVILLE ALABAMA
Well it has happened a tornado has hit Huntsville Alabama. I started out my chase day and went to the area the SPC had predicted for severe weather and even issued a Tornado watch for that area and what happened BUST. As I arrived back in Madison and unpacked my chase vehicle with pea size hail falling all around me I took one last look at the radar and noticed a hook echo near the Space and Rocket Center and I told my wife they might issue a tornado warning, and as soon as I got it out of my mouth the sirens started. I turned on WHNT and they were showing the tornado as the power flashes started. By clicking the title you will see Iphone video of the tornado taken by a fellow storm spotter Josh Roberson and the pictures are from various other ppl including Dan Satterfield,Micheal Bertoldi, and whnt news
Rainy Night, Storms To Come
Well after a night of some extreme weather including the first tornado outbreak of 2010 that saw 14 reported twisters in Texas and Louisiana severe wind damage along the California coast, to large hail in the Arkla-Tex region. This system has now pushed well to the East of Alabama, and our attention turns to this afternoon. The SPC has most all Alabama in a Slight Risk for severe storms as the temperatures reach near 70°. As I type this the sun is now coming out which will only fuel the atmosphere as CAPE values will be between 1000 and 1500 j/kg's. North Alabama has been painted with a 5% tornado risk this afternoon, and the BTI (Baron tornado index) also has the area painted as well. Any storms that do fire this afternoon should pack a punch and with little moisture they could be your plains varaiety LP (low precipitation) Thunderstorms, meaning if tornadoes develop they should be visible and this will be a daylight event. Just be aware that a tornado warning or two is very possible this afternoon, generally in the 2:00 to 6:00 p.m. time frame. All of the storms should be over by 7:00 p.m
Wednesday, January 20, 2010
Chase Potential Looking Good. First Tornado Watches for 2010.
Well the SPC still has north Alabama under a slight risk for severe storms and possible tornadoes tomorrow(Thursday.) This is something that will be watched very closely as CAPE values will be near 1500j/kg's and temps near 70F. Earlier today the first and second tornado watches were issued. There have been 2 confirmed tornadoes in Louisiana today so far. Stay weather aware the next few days as another system possibly stronger than the one we will experience tonight and tomorrow will impact Alabama on Saturday and Sunday.
Hazardous Weather Outlook
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
430 AM CST WED JAN 20 2010
ALZ001>010-016-TNZ076-096-097-201915-
LAUDERDALE-COLBERT-FRANKLIN AL-LAWRENCE-LIMESTONE-MADISON-MORGAN-
MARSHALL-JACKSON-DEKALB-CULLMAN-MOORE-LINCOLN-FRANKLIN TN-
430 AM CST WED JAN 20 2010
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH ALABAMA AND PORTIONS
OF SOUTHERN MIDDLE TENNESSEE.
.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL OVERSPREAD THE AREA LATER
THIS MORNING AND THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN WILL BE
POSSIBLE.
ADDITIONAL SHOWERS ALONG WITH SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT
THE AREA TONIGHT...ESPECIALLY AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1
TO 2 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE BY DAYBREAK THURSDAY. ON TOP OF ALREADY
SATURATED GROUNDS...THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL QUICKLY ELEVATE THE
FLASH FLOOD POTENTIAL. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM
TONIGHT THROUGH 12 PM THURSDAY.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...
IN ADDITION TO THE HEAVY RAIN AND ELEVATED FLASH FLOOD THREAT...
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THURSDAY AFTERNOON
AND EVENING AS AN INTENSE STORM SYSTEM MOVES ACROSS THE TENNESSEE
VALLEY. AT THIS TIME...THE PRIMARY THREATS WITH ANY STORMS WILL BE
LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS...HOWEVER AN ISOLATED TORNADO CANNOT
BE RULED OUT.
ANOTHER STRONG STORM SYSTEM WILL AFFECT THE REGION THIS WEEKEND WITH
THE POTENTIAL FOR STRONG TO ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS SATURDAY
NIGHT INTO SUNDAY. MORE HEAVY RAIN CAN BE EXPECTED WHICH WILL ONLY
WORSEN THE FLASH FLOOD SITUATION ACROSS THE AREA.
.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IS
POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
430 AM CST WED JAN 20 2010
ALZ001>010-016-TNZ076-096-097-201915-
LAUDERDALE-COLBERT-FRANKLIN AL-LAWRENCE-LIMESTONE-MADISON-MORGAN-
MARSHALL-JACKSON-DEKALB-CULLMAN-MOORE-LINCOLN-FRANKLIN TN-
430 AM CST WED JAN 20 2010
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH ALABAMA AND PORTIONS
OF SOUTHERN MIDDLE TENNESSEE.
.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL OVERSPREAD THE AREA LATER
THIS MORNING AND THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN WILL BE
POSSIBLE.
ADDITIONAL SHOWERS ALONG WITH SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT
THE AREA TONIGHT...ESPECIALLY AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1
TO 2 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE BY DAYBREAK THURSDAY. ON TOP OF ALREADY
SATURATED GROUNDS...THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL QUICKLY ELEVATE THE
FLASH FLOOD POTENTIAL. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM
TONIGHT THROUGH 12 PM THURSDAY.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...
IN ADDITION TO THE HEAVY RAIN AND ELEVATED FLASH FLOOD THREAT...
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THURSDAY AFTERNOON
AND EVENING AS AN INTENSE STORM SYSTEM MOVES ACROSS THE TENNESSEE
VALLEY. AT THIS TIME...THE PRIMARY THREATS WITH ANY STORMS WILL BE
LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS...HOWEVER AN ISOLATED TORNADO CANNOT
BE RULED OUT.
ANOTHER STRONG STORM SYSTEM WILL AFFECT THE REGION THIS WEEKEND WITH
THE POTENTIAL FOR STRONG TO ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS SATURDAY
NIGHT INTO SUNDAY. MORE HEAVY RAIN CAN BE EXPECTED WHICH WILL ONLY
WORSEN THE FLASH FLOOD SITUATION ACROSS THE AREA.
.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IS
POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING.
Here We Go
Thursday
Wednesday
Next 5 days
Well it seems we may be in for a rain pounding over the next 5 days. The HPC is predicting 4 plus inches by Sunday afternoon, and since we are already 2 inches in the hole for the year this will help. Now our confidence is building towards a few severe storms in here tonight roughly from an area from near Muscle Shoals to just west of Birmingham and points to the west including Walker and Tuscaloosa Counties. While we do not expect a wide spread outbreak a few storm s could develop and for that reason the SPC has issued a slight risk for West Alabama. This system should push out early on Thursday and then the sun should break out and if that happens the CAPE values look to climb to around 1500j/kg and with surface temps pushing near 70° we could see redevelopment as the front pushes in and those could really pack a punch. The main time frame for this is Noon to 6pm. And the SC sees this and has issued a slight risk for North Alabama. If severe weather breaks tonight or tomorrow I will be in the field and streaming live, and when I do go mobile I will post the link on twitter or you can just check the quick link on the blog home page.
Wednesday
Next 5 days
Well it seems we may be in for a rain pounding over the next 5 days. The HPC is predicting 4 plus inches by Sunday afternoon, and since we are already 2 inches in the hole for the year this will help. Now our confidence is building towards a few severe storms in here tonight roughly from an area from near Muscle Shoals to just west of Birmingham and points to the west including Walker and Tuscaloosa Counties. While we do not expect a wide spread outbreak a few storm s could develop and for that reason the SPC has issued a slight risk for West Alabama. This system should push out early on Thursday and then the sun should break out and if that happens the CAPE values look to climb to around 1500j/kg and with surface temps pushing near 70° we could see redevelopment as the front pushes in and those could really pack a punch. The main time frame for this is Noon to 6pm. And the SC sees this and has issued a slight risk for North Alabama. If severe weather breaks tonight or tomorrow I will be in the field and streaming live, and when I do go mobile I will post the link on twitter or you can just check the quick link on the blog home page.
Monday, January 18, 2010
Thursday Looking Interesting
Here is an update for Thursday. Note the image it shows the CAPE values for 3:00pm Thursday. It is in the 500j/kg range. Remember this is just a forecast output model and it depends on whether or not we get some sunshine during the day, if this happens and the CAPE does go up we could see some storms roll through Alabama as the fronts drags through. Also it does look as if Sunday could be rather stormy as well and with both systems we could see nearly 4" of rain between the 2.
Rainy End to January
It looks to be a rainy and possibly a stormy end to the month of January. The HPC has painted another 2" plus amounts for north and central Alabama over the next 5 days and this total does not include the system on Sunday. With the system on Wednesday and into Thursday we are looking at mainly a heavy rain event but we could hear a few rumbles of thunder mixed in as well. The lack of any surface based instability will keep our Thunderstorm threat to a minimum. Although the SPC has the far SW corner of Alabama in a Slight Risk for then mainly down on the Gulf Coast. It is now looking like I might have to dust of my chase gear a little early this season. The system that will impact us on Sunday looks very interesting as it has also caught the folks over at the SPCs attention as well. They have the southern 2/3 of Alabama in a severe weather risk right now at a 30% probability of severe weather from 25 miles of any given point. It looks to be a line around the Cullman-Blount County lines over to Walker and Tuscaloosa Counties to the south right now. This will be up dated later I am sure. A squall line will sweep in from the west on Sunday as the low pressure moves just to our north and drags the front behind it. This will be our first real severe weather threat of the new year so it will be watched closely. Stay tuned for more info.
Saturday, January 16, 2010
Wet days Ahead
Well it looks as we could see some significant rains over the next 5 days. The HPC has the bulls eye down in the SE corner of Alabama and into the Florida panhandle, but from Mobile to Huntsville anyone could see 2" up to 4" in spots. We are still looking at the AO (arctic oscillation) going negative again towards the the last week of January into the first week of February. Not real sure how cold it will be or how long the cold will last. As for this system with little or no instability the threat of Severe Weather is not a problem they could be a few storms along the coast but the most unstable air is over the state of Florida. The Craven Brooks Significant Tornado Parameter puts an area right over the northern parts of the Florida Peninsula for Sunday. We have another system coming in next week a well that bares watching but right now not much more than rain is expected. Keep in mind Spring is right around the corner and we have had some very strong storms in the months of February and March as well.
Wednesday, January 13, 2010
Wet Weather On The Way
Well it looks as if we here in North Alabama are in for a good soaking over the weekend. We could see at the minimum of 1" in some areas( notice the HPS predictions.) Also another storm system could bring an additional 1"-2" by next Thursday as well.While the high for Madison today was still cool to some at only 44°, it was alot warmer than this time last week. We could very well continue to moderate into the upper 50s to low 60s by next week, but I do warn everyone "DO NOT GET USED TO IT". The Arctic Oscillation Index starts to trend negative again towards the end of the month and into February. February is known to be our coldest winter month so be prepared.
Tuesday, January 12, 2010
The Tennessee Fight Song The Fulmer Faithfull Are Singing
Wish that I was on old Rocky Top
To tell them to hire back Phil.
Ain't no better coach for Rocky Top
No one better than Phil.
2 SEC titles while at Rocky Top
And a national title on top of that,
With the heart of a Lion and the will to win,
The volunteer nation wants him back.
(Chorus)
Rocky Top, you'll always be
Home sweet home to me.
Good old Rocky Top,
Rocky Top, Tennessee.
Rocky Top, Tennessee.
They brought in coaches up to Rocky Top
looking to replace Phil.
You hired Lane Kiffin to win a title,
Reckon they never will.
Tears won’t fall at all on Rocky Top,
Like they did when Phil left town.
Now that Lane up and left Rocky Top
Guess Mike Hamilton is a clown.
(Repeat Chorus)
You had a year with the pretty boy coach,
And he left you with a hefty bill.
All I know if you want to win again,
You better bring back Phil.
(Repeat Chorus)
Rocky Top, Tennessee!
To tell them to hire back Phil.
Ain't no better coach for Rocky Top
No one better than Phil.
2 SEC titles while at Rocky Top
And a national title on top of that,
With the heart of a Lion and the will to win,
The volunteer nation wants him back.
(Chorus)
Rocky Top, you'll always be
Home sweet home to me.
Good old Rocky Top,
Rocky Top, Tennessee.
Rocky Top, Tennessee.
They brought in coaches up to Rocky Top
looking to replace Phil.
You hired Lane Kiffin to win a title,
Reckon they never will.
Tears won’t fall at all on Rocky Top,
Like they did when Phil left town.
Now that Lane up and left Rocky Top
Guess Mike Hamilton is a clown.
(Repeat Chorus)
You had a year with the pretty boy coach,
And he left you with a hefty bill.
All I know if you want to win again,
You better bring back Phil.
(Repeat Chorus)
Rocky Top, Tennessee!
Sunday, January 10, 2010
Wow What a Cold Snap.
Well it all started on Friday January 1 2010 at around 4pm. My thermometer dropped below 32° and as of Midnight tonight it will be a total of 230 hours ago. I have recorded only 2.5 hours above freezing since that time. We are not forecast to go above freezing until Monday , and right now I am at 27.1° so it does not look to threaten the streak. So 227.5 hours of below freezing temps, an average wind chill of 14.3°,average temps during this span of 26.3°, and 2 nights of single digit temps. Yes I did fall victim as well as my neighbors and had frozen pipes, although I did not have any burst. We look to have a nice warm up (in the 40s) over the next week with a chance of RAIN by next weekend. This by far is our coldest in a long time. I do not think that it is at all over we could see a couple more chance of snow and 1 or 2 more cold snaps before winter is all over.
Thursday, January 7, 2010
Another Snow Chance on the 16th??
Noon Saturday the 16th
Midnight on Sunday the 17th
Noon on sunday the 17th
Let us take a look into the future ( or as James Spann says Voodoo country)here comes another system on or around the 16th of January looks as if we may see some strong storms early as the Low is centered near Florence Alabama and as it moves ENE the arap around moisture looks to be accompanied by another 540 line (rain/snow)and then another cold grasp looks to set up right over the Southeast. Remember this is way out there and it will change again and again and again. If this was to hold together it looks as if there would more than enough moisture for more snow. For all you snow lovers Lets cross our fingers and see if it holds.
Midnight on Sunday the 17th
Noon on sunday the 17th
Let us take a look into the future ( or as James Spann says Voodoo country)here comes another system on or around the 16th of January looks as if we may see some strong storms early as the Low is centered near Florence Alabama and as it moves ENE the arap around moisture looks to be accompanied by another 540 line (rain/snow)and then another cold grasp looks to set up right over the Southeast. Remember this is way out there and it will change again and again and again. If this was to hold together it looks as if there would more than enough moisture for more snow. For all you snow lovers Lets cross our fingers and see if it holds.
Big bad Blizzard Of 2010
Well as with any snow event in Alabama expect the lower end of totals and hope for the higher end. I nailed my North Alabama prediction with the Trace to 2" totals and yes we got a good Trace. It may not have developed into the amounts first forecast, but as you can see my kids enjoyed themselves. When you are a 3 or a 4 year old just seeing it fall is good enough. For all snow lovers this is surely not our last chance this Winter.
Now we turn to the cold air.
Well some snow well wishers are very disappointed today as the snow did not meet expectations. There a few factors for this. 1) the snow moved in about 5 hours ahead of schedule and with that happening there was no chance for any of what little gulf moisture to be a factor.2) there was alot of sleet mixed in with the snow and when that happens it takes away from some of the accumulations. By looking at the current radar it looks now as if areas from Tuscaloosa to Birmingham can expect the most.
Wednesday, January 6, 2010
Here It Comes.
Well we now have some moisture in the air, it may or may not be reaching the ground just yet. Right now it is in Lauderdale and Colbert Counties and some counties in Middle Tennessee. These should be light with the more extensive coverage coming during the day on Thursday. Anyone in the shoals got snow? We would love to here from you.info@dixiealleyadventures.com
My Personal Opinion Updated
Here is where I feel like the most snow may occur. Remember that just because an area may say Trace to 2" there may be more or less depending on the bands as they come in. Also do not pay to much attention to forecast totals as the cold weather is going to be the real problem. We will see record breaking cold over the next few days. The forecast lows are near 8 degrees on Saturday morning but with a snow pack we could see below zero temps in some areas, and the wind chill factor will be below zero most all weekend. Please stay of the roads even if we only get a half inch of snow the roads will become impassable. The NWS has all of the Tennessee Valley under a winter weather advisory until late in the day on Thursday. The Snow should start to push into the Shoals area sometime around 10:00am and should be completely out of the area between midnight and 6;00am on Friday.
Winter Weather Advisory
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
314 PM CST WED JAN 6 2010
...WINTRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED TO AFFECT THE TENNESSEE VALLEY
BEGINNING LATE TONIGHT...
.MOISTURE POOLING AHEAD OF A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL RESULT IN
ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL ACROSS THE TENNESSEE VALLEY. ONE TO TWO INCHES
OF SNOW IS EXPECTED. A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS TENNESSEE
VALLEY LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON...WITH THE MAJORITY OF THE SNOW
TAPERING OFF TO FLURRIES THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING...AS MUCH
COLDER AND DRIER AIR MOVES INTO THE AREA. RESIDUAL MOISTURE
ALZ001>005-007-016-070600-
/O.NEW.KHUN.WW.Y.0001.100107T1200Z-100108T0600Z/
LAUDERDALE-COLBERT-FRANKLIN AL-LAWRENCE-LIMESTONE-MORGAN-CULLMAN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLORENCE...MUSCLE SHOALS...
RUSSELLVILLE...MOULTON...ATHENS...DECATUR...CULLMAN
314 PM CST WED JAN 6 2010
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM THURSDAY TO
MIDNIGHT CST THURSDAY NIGHT...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HUNTSVILLE HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM THURSDAY
TO MIDNIGHT CST THURSDAY NIGHT.
SNOW IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN AROUND DAYBREAK ACROSS NORTHWEST ALABAMA.
THE SNOW WILL OVERSPREAD THE INTERSTATE 65 CORRIDOR BY THE LATE
MORNING. ONE TO TWO INCHES OF SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED TO FALL ACROSS
THE AREA.
SNOW WILL END DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON...AS A STRONG COLD FRONT
MOVES ACROSS THE AREA. AIR TEMPERATURES WILL QUICKLY FALL AFTER
SUNSET...THUS ANY RESIDUAL SNOW OR WET SURFACES ON THE ROADS WILL
FREEZE. THEREFORE...ICY ROAD CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL
CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED
ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
314 PM CST WED JAN 6 2010
...WINTRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED TO AFFECT THE TENNESSEE VALLEY
BEGINNING LATE TONIGHT...
.MOISTURE POOLING AHEAD OF A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL RESULT IN
ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL ACROSS THE TENNESSEE VALLEY. ONE TO TWO INCHES
OF SNOW IS EXPECTED. A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS TENNESSEE
VALLEY LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON...WITH THE MAJORITY OF THE SNOW
TAPERING OFF TO FLURRIES THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING...AS MUCH
COLDER AND DRIER AIR MOVES INTO THE AREA. RESIDUAL MOISTURE
ALZ001>005-007-016-070600-
/O.NEW.KHUN.WW.Y.0001.100107T1200Z-100108T0600Z/
LAUDERDALE-COLBERT-FRANKLIN AL-LAWRENCE-LIMESTONE-MORGAN-CULLMAN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLORENCE...MUSCLE SHOALS...
RUSSELLVILLE...MOULTON...ATHENS...DECATUR...CULLMAN
314 PM CST WED JAN 6 2010
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM THURSDAY TO
MIDNIGHT CST THURSDAY NIGHT...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HUNTSVILLE HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM THURSDAY
TO MIDNIGHT CST THURSDAY NIGHT.
SNOW IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN AROUND DAYBREAK ACROSS NORTHWEST ALABAMA.
THE SNOW WILL OVERSPREAD THE INTERSTATE 65 CORRIDOR BY THE LATE
MORNING. ONE TO TWO INCHES OF SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED TO FALL ACROSS
THE AREA.
SNOW WILL END DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON...AS A STRONG COLD FRONT
MOVES ACROSS THE AREA. AIR TEMPERATURES WILL QUICKLY FALL AFTER
SUNSET...THUS ANY RESIDUAL SNOW OR WET SURFACES ON THE ROADS WILL
FREEZE. THEREFORE...ICY ROAD CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL
CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED
ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.
Hazardous Weather Outlook
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
440 AM CST WED JAN 6 2010
ALZ001>010-016-TNZ076-096-097-061900-
LAUDERDALE-COLBERT-FRANKLIN AL-LAWRENCE-LIMESTONE-MADISON-MORGAN-
MARSHALL-JACKSON-DEKALB-CULLMAN-MOORE-LINCOLN-FRANKLIN TN-
440 AM CST WED JAN 6 2010
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH ALABAMA AND PORTIONS
OF SOUTHERN MIDDLE TENNESSEE.
.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...
LIGHT SNOW WILL BEGIN TO SPREAD INTO THE REGION...ESPECIALLY NEAR
THE MISSISSIPPI BORDER...LATE TONIGHT. LITTLE OR NO ACCUMULATION IS
EXPECTED BEFORE DAYBREAK ON THURSDAY.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...
LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOW WILL CONTINUE MUCH OF THE DAY ON THURSDAY
AHEAD OF AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT. SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF ONE TO ONE
AND A HALF INCHES ARE ANTICIPATED...WITH PERHAPS AS MUCH AS TWO
INCHES IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. SINCE GROUND TEMPERATURES ARE
ALREADY NEAR OR BELOW FREEZING...ANY SNOWFALL ACCUMULATION WILL BE
CAPABLE OF CAUSING TRAVEL PROBLEMS. MOST OF THE SNOW WILL END BY
SUNSET ON THURSDAY...BUT OCCASIONAL FLURRIES OR LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS
WILL STILL BE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS...
THROUGH SATURDAY.
BEHIND THIS SYSTEM...THE COLDEST AIRMASS OF THE SEASON WILL MOVE
INTO THE AREA...WITH TEMPERATURES EXPECTED TO FALL INTO THE SINGLE
DIGITS AT TIMES OVER THE WEEKEND...WITH HIGHS ONLY RECOVERING INTO
THE 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS WILL CREATE NEAR OR BELOW ZERO WIND CHILL
TEMPERATURES AT TIMES FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY MORNINGS...AND THE WIND
CHILL WILL STAY BETWEEN ONLY 10 AND 20 MOST OF THE DAY FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY.
.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL
IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.
$$
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
440 AM CST WED JAN 6 2010
ALZ001>010-016-TNZ076-096-097-061900-
LAUDERDALE-COLBERT-FRANKLIN AL-LAWRENCE-LIMESTONE-MADISON-MORGAN-
MARSHALL-JACKSON-DEKALB-CULLMAN-MOORE-LINCOLN-FRANKLIN TN-
440 AM CST WED JAN 6 2010
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH ALABAMA AND PORTIONS
OF SOUTHERN MIDDLE TENNESSEE.
.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...
LIGHT SNOW WILL BEGIN TO SPREAD INTO THE REGION...ESPECIALLY NEAR
THE MISSISSIPPI BORDER...LATE TONIGHT. LITTLE OR NO ACCUMULATION IS
EXPECTED BEFORE DAYBREAK ON THURSDAY.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...
LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOW WILL CONTINUE MUCH OF THE DAY ON THURSDAY
AHEAD OF AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT. SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF ONE TO ONE
AND A HALF INCHES ARE ANTICIPATED...WITH PERHAPS AS MUCH AS TWO
INCHES IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. SINCE GROUND TEMPERATURES ARE
ALREADY NEAR OR BELOW FREEZING...ANY SNOWFALL ACCUMULATION WILL BE
CAPABLE OF CAUSING TRAVEL PROBLEMS. MOST OF THE SNOW WILL END BY
SUNSET ON THURSDAY...BUT OCCASIONAL FLURRIES OR LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS
WILL STILL BE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS...
THROUGH SATURDAY.
BEHIND THIS SYSTEM...THE COLDEST AIRMASS OF THE SEASON WILL MOVE
INTO THE AREA...WITH TEMPERATURES EXPECTED TO FALL INTO THE SINGLE
DIGITS AT TIMES OVER THE WEEKEND...WITH HIGHS ONLY RECOVERING INTO
THE 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS WILL CREATE NEAR OR BELOW ZERO WIND CHILL
TEMPERATURES AT TIMES FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY MORNINGS...AND THE WIND
CHILL WILL STAY BETWEEN ONLY 10 AND 20 MOST OF THE DAY FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY.
.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL
IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.
$$
Tuesday, January 5, 2010
My Personal Opinion
Well this is my opinion on where the snow may fall. The models are starting to come together a little bit, but still are changing a little bit with each run.Please realize that accumulations will happen but totals are not really known right now. This is just my guess on where the snow will be.
Latest GFS Models
Here is the latest GFS image valid for Noon on Thursday. It shows the heavier precip for an area from near Birmingham to the South and West towards Tuscaloosa to the SW. areas south of Montgomery will probably see only a cold rain with a few flakes mixed in. each meteorologist is predicting areas different. The guys in Birmingham are saying a dusting to one inch in the Tennessee Valley area and 1 to 2 inches from Birmingham to Montgomery. The guys in Huntsville are say areas in the Valley could see 1-3 inches. I say areas around Birmingham will see more than Huntsville. But THAT MAY CHANGE. No run has been the same.
Hazardous Weather Outlook
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
1207 PM CST TUE JAN 5 2010
ALZ001>010-016-TNZ076-096-097-060100-
LAUDERDALE-COLBERT-FRANKLIN AL-LAWRENCE-LIMESTONE-MADISON-MORGAN-
MARSHALL-JACKSON-DEKALB-CULLMAN-MOORE-LINCOLN-FRANKLIN TN-
1207 PM CST TUE JAN 5 2010
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH ALABAMA AND PORTIONS
OF SOUTHERN MIDDLE TENNESSEE.
.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...
FRIGID WIND CHILL TEMPERATURES IN THE SINGLE DIGITS ARE EXPECTED
THIS AFTERNOON MAINLY IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS...AND IN MOST AREAS
TONIGHT.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY...
LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE AREA ON
THURSDAY AHEAD OF AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT. LIGHT SNOWFALL
ACCUMULATIONS AROUND ONE INCH ARE ANTICIPATED...WITH HIGHER
AMOUNTS PERHAPS UP TO TWO INCHES IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. WITH
GROUND TEMPERATURES ALREADY NEAR FREEZING...ANY SNOWFALL
ACCUMULATION WILL BE CAPABLE OF CAUSING TRAVEL PROBLEMS.
BEHIND THIS SYSTEM...THE COLDEST AIR MASS OF THE SEASON WILL MOVE
INTO THE AREA...WITH TEMPERATURES EXPECTED TO FALL INTO THE SINGLE
DIGITS AT TIMES OVER THE WEEKEND. NORTHWEST WINDS WILL CREATE
BELOW ZERO WIND CHILL TEMPERATURES AT TIMES FRIDAY THROUGH
SUNDAY.
.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL
IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
1207 PM CST TUE JAN 5 2010
ALZ001>010-016-TNZ076-096-097-060100-
LAUDERDALE-COLBERT-FRANKLIN AL-LAWRENCE-LIMESTONE-MADISON-MORGAN-
MARSHALL-JACKSON-DEKALB-CULLMAN-MOORE-LINCOLN-FRANKLIN TN-
1207 PM CST TUE JAN 5 2010
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH ALABAMA AND PORTIONS
OF SOUTHERN MIDDLE TENNESSEE.
.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...
FRIGID WIND CHILL TEMPERATURES IN THE SINGLE DIGITS ARE EXPECTED
THIS AFTERNOON MAINLY IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS...AND IN MOST AREAS
TONIGHT.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY...
LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE AREA ON
THURSDAY AHEAD OF AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT. LIGHT SNOWFALL
ACCUMULATIONS AROUND ONE INCH ARE ANTICIPATED...WITH HIGHER
AMOUNTS PERHAPS UP TO TWO INCHES IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. WITH
GROUND TEMPERATURES ALREADY NEAR FREEZING...ANY SNOWFALL
ACCUMULATION WILL BE CAPABLE OF CAUSING TRAVEL PROBLEMS.
BEHIND THIS SYSTEM...THE COLDEST AIR MASS OF THE SEASON WILL MOVE
INTO THE AREA...WITH TEMPERATURES EXPECTED TO FALL INTO THE SINGLE
DIGITS AT TIMES OVER THE WEEKEND. NORTHWEST WINDS WILL CREATE
BELOW ZERO WIND CHILL TEMPERATURES AT TIMES FRIDAY THROUGH
SUNDAY.
.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL
IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.
Monday, January 4, 2010
Some models Are Inconsistant
Candian
NAM
GFS
As you can see by these 3 models each one is valid for 6:00pm on Thursday. The NAM is a little slower and drier than the GFS, and the Canadian model shows the system tapping into a little more Gulf moisture. For all the snow lovers (like myself)lets all hope that is the case. There is a possibility that we may start out as sleet up here in the Tennessee Valley the change over to snow. Whatever the case it looks like it should be over and done sometime on Friday. It doe not matter if we get 1 inch or 5 inches with the temps as cold as they are the ground is frozen and roads could become slick. When the models come out on Tuesday we should have a real grasp on where the heavier amounts could be.
NAM
GFS
As you can see by these 3 models each one is valid for 6:00pm on Thursday. The NAM is a little slower and drier than the GFS, and the Canadian model shows the system tapping into a little more Gulf moisture. For all the snow lovers (like myself)lets all hope that is the case. There is a possibility that we may start out as sleet up here in the Tennessee Valley the change over to snow. Whatever the case it looks like it should be over and done sometime on Friday. It doe not matter if we get 1 inch or 5 inches with the temps as cold as they are the ground is frozen and roads could become slick. When the models come out on Tuesday we should have a real grasp on where the heavier amounts could be.
Sunday, January 3, 2010
Snow Chances Look Real Good For Next Week.
6pm Thursday
Midnight Thursday night
6am Friday
Noon Friday
6pm Friday
I am posting this a little late with the next model run due out in a little while but I have been real busy. Here are the 6:00am runs for next week.
If you notice that around Midnight Alabama becomes inundated with heavy Snowfall with this run ( as much as 4 inches can be possible in areas north of I-20). As before it may change again and again. Stay tuned to your local news and other means of weather information. Remember the brutal cold weather we are experiencing now, because whatever snow does fall will be around for a while because we may sta below freezing throughout the weekend.
Midnight Thursday night
6am Friday
Noon Friday
6pm Friday
I am posting this a little late with the next model run due out in a little while but I have been real busy. Here are the 6:00am runs for next week.
If you notice that around Midnight Alabama becomes inundated with heavy Snowfall with this run ( as much as 4 inches can be possible in areas north of I-20). As before it may change again and again. Stay tuned to your local news and other means of weather information. Remember the brutal cold weather we are experiencing now, because whatever snow does fall will be around for a while because we may sta below freezing throughout the weekend.
Saturday, January 2, 2010
Another Snow Chance???
This is a long way out but the 18z run of the GFS for Wednesday the 13th looks like another chance for wintry precipitation and possibly a severe weather chance along the Gulf Coast. This is sure to change with time because you cannot really expect runs this far out to be truthful.
Snow Chances Look Good For Next Week. FOR NOW
18z (noon) GFS for Thursday
00z (6pm) GFS for Thursday
06z GFS (midnight) on Friday
12z GFS (6am) Friday
Well will wonders never cease? The Latest runs of the GFS still show a decent little snow storm for Alabama and other parts of the Southeast next Thursday into Friday. It looks real good right now (the track of the Low),but remember it may all disapear on the next run or two. With the current track if (and I am saying I IF) Snow amounts could be as little as 2" for areas near Birmingham to near 4"+ near Huntsville. And with the next surge of cold air coming in on Friday the Highs may not get out of the 20's with lows in the single digits in some areas ( with a snow pack some lows may be near 0). Please do not rn out and hoard milk and bread this may all change. The models that come out Sunday night and Monday should have a better fix on if we get any or not. Keep in mind even without the snow we are in for some extremely cold temperatures this week. If you know someone that does not have adequate heat please check on them each day. More to come tomorrow night.
00z (6pm) GFS for Thursday
06z GFS (midnight) on Friday
12z GFS (6am) Friday
Well will wonders never cease? The Latest runs of the GFS still show a decent little snow storm for Alabama and other parts of the Southeast next Thursday into Friday. It looks real good right now (the track of the Low),but remember it may all disapear on the next run or two. With the current track if (and I am saying I IF) Snow amounts could be as little as 2" for areas near Birmingham to near 4"+ near Huntsville. And with the next surge of cold air coming in on Friday the Highs may not get out of the 20's with lows in the single digits in some areas ( with a snow pack some lows may be near 0). Please do not rn out and hoard milk and bread this may all change. The models that come out Sunday night and Monday should have a better fix on if we get any or not. Keep in mind even without the snow we are in for some extremely cold temperatures this week. If you know someone that does not have adequate heat please check on them each day. More to come tomorrow night.
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