Mississippi Tornadoes 11-29-10

Well Mississippi was hit hard overnight with strong tornadoes. At least 4 EF2s and 1 EF3 has been confirmed so far. The NWS survey team will update more tomorrow. Below are the preliminary reports so far.

PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
656 PM CST TUE NOV 30 2010

...2 TORNADOES AND SIGNIFICANT STRAIGHT LINE WIND DAMAGE CONFIRMED
IN YAZOO COUNTY BY NWS SURVEY TEAM...

TORNADO #1

COUNTY: YAZOO
BEGINNING POINT: YAZOO CITY AT 807 PM CST
ENDING POINT: 2.1 MILES NORTHEAST OF YAZOO CITY AT 810 PM CST
RATING: EF2 MAX ESTIMATED WINDS 115 MPH
PATH LENGTH: 2.1 MILES
MAXIMUM WIDTH: 150 YARDS
FATALITIES: 0
INJURIES: 0

SUMMARY OF DAMAGE: THIS STORM TRACKED THROUGH DOWNTOWN YAZOO CITY.
IT DAMAGED SEVERAL BUILDINGS...MOST OF WHICH WAS ROOF DAMAGE...BUT
ONE BUILDING HAD SOME EXTERIOR WALLS DESTROYED ALSO. NUMEROUS
WINDOWS WERE BLOWN OUT OF DOWNTOWN BUILDINGS AND A LARGE AREA OF
SIDING WAS TORN FROM ANOTHER BUILDING. THE TORNADO KNOCKED DOWN
TREES AND DAMAGED THE ROOF AT THE COUNTY COURTHOUSE. DAMAGE IN THE
DOWNTOWN AREA WAS THE STRONGEST FOR THIS TORNADO AND RATED AS EF2.

THE TORNADO WEAKENED AS IT MOVED NORTHEAST FOR ABOUT A MILE WITH
ONLY SCATTERED TREE DAMAGE OCCURRING. AS THE TORNADO CROSSED JERRY
CLOWER BLVD...IT STRENGTHENED AND SNAPPED A POWER POLE AND DAMAGED
THE ROOF OF A STORE. THE TORNADO WEAKENED AGAIN PRODUCING ITS FINAL
DAMAGE TO TREES ON HONEYCUTT ROAD.

TORNADO #2

COUNTY: YAZOO
BEGINNING POINT: 15.5 MILES SOUTHWEST OF YAZOO CITY AT 746 PM CST
ENDING POINT: 4 MILES SOUTHWEST OF YAZOO CITY AT 800 PM CST
RATING: EF2 MAX ESTIMATED WINDS 125 MPH
PATH LENGTH: 11.5 MILES
MAXIMUM WIDTH: 200 YARDS
FATALITIES: 0
INJURIES: 0

SUMMARY OF DAMAGE: NUMEROUS TREES AND POWER POLES SNAPPED AND TREES
UPROOTED. SEVERAL IRRIGATION PUMPS WERE FLIPPED OVER. SEVERAL HOMES
RECEIVED EXTENSIVE ROOF AND WALL DAMAGE. A SINGLE WIDE MOBILE HOME
WAS COMPLETELY DESTROYED. THE ROOF WAS TORN OFF A MEDAL FRAME
BUILDING AND TWO SEMI-TRUCKS WERE FLIPPED OVER.

STRAIGHT LINE WIND DAMAGE

AN AREA OF SIGNIFICANT STRAIGHT LINE WIND DAMAGE OCCURRED ABOUT ONE
MILE SOUTH OF THE YAZOO CITY TORNADO TRACK. TWO TREES WERE KNOCKED
DOWN ONTO A HOUSE...TEN POWER POLES WERE SNAPPED AND BUILDINGS
DAMAGED ON THE BROADWAY STREET HILL...AND ADDITIONAL TREES WERE
DOWNED FURTHER EAST OF THE BROADWAY STREET HILL. THIS DAMAGE WAS DUE
TO A REAR FLANK DOWNDRAFT ASSOCIATED WITH THE YAZOO CITY TORNADO
WITH WINDS ESTIMATED TO BE 100 TO 115 MPH. THIS DAMAGE OCCURRED AT
ABOUT THE SAME TIME AS THE YAZOO CITY TORNADO.


This one has not been confirmed yet
JAN: 5 Sw Newton [Newton Co, MS] emergency mngr reports TORNADO at 30 Nov, 03:12 AM CST -- emergency manager reports path of damage in the area around 505 sw of newton...and that damage appears to have been produced by a tornado

PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
515 PM CST TUE NOV 30 2010

...TORNADOES CONFIRMED IN ATTALA AND LEAKE COUNTIES BY NWS SURVEY
TEAM...


COUNTY/COUNTIES: LEAKE/ATTALA
BEGINNING POINT: 3.5 MILES NORTHWEST OF THOMASTOWN AT 938 PM CST
ENDING POINT: 3 MILES EAST MCADAMS AT 950 PM CST
RATING: EF3, MAX ESTIMATED WINDS 140 MPH
PATH LENGTH: 10 MILES
MAXIMUM WIDTH: 400 YARDS
FATALITIES: 0
INJURIES: 6

SUMMARY OF DAMAGE: THE INITIAL DAMAGE WHERE THE TORNADO DEVELOPED
WAS LIMITED TO SOME MINOR TREE DAMAGE ALONG BUDDY ODOM ROAD. THE
TORNADO TRACKED NORTH NORTHEAST AND RAPIDLY BECAME STRONG, WITH EF2
AND LOW END EF3 DAMAGE OCCURRING ALONG THE REST OF THE PATH. THE
TORNADO AFFECTED SHILOH AND BUDDY ODOM ROADS AS WELL AS STATE
HIGHWAY 429 IN LEAKE COUNTY; AND COUNTY ROADS 4022, 4033, 4126,
4045, 4171, 4142 AND STATE HIGHWAY 14 IN ATTALA COUNTY. SEVERAL
MOBILE HOMES, INCLUDING AT LEAST TWO DOUBLE WIDES, WERE COMPLETELY
DESTROYED AT SEVERAL LOCATIONS ALONG THE PATH, WITH DEBRIS CARRIED
WELL AWAY FROM THE REMAINS. IMPRESSIVE TREE DAMAGE OCCURRED AT
NUMEROUS LOCATIONS ALONG THE PATH, INCLUDING A COUPLE OF LOCATIONS
WHERE SOME DEBARKING/DENUDING WAS NOTED. VEHICLES WERE ROLLED OR
TOSSED AT SEVERAL LOCATIONS. A FRAME HOME WAS PUSHED OFF ITS
FOUNDATION AND A NUMBER OF FRAME HOMES SUFFERED MODERATE TO MAJOR
ROOF DAMAGE. NUMEROUS POWER POLES WERE SNAPPED ALONG THE PATH. THE
WIDEST POINT OF THE DAMAGE PATH WAS AROUND A QUARTER MILE, AND WAS
NEAR HIGHWAY 14 IN ATTALA COUNTY.


PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1230 PM CST TUE NOV 30 2010

...TORNADOES CONFIRMED IN SMITH AND OKTIBBEHA COUNTIES BY NWS SURVEY
TEAMS...


COUNTY/COUNTIES: SMITH
BEGINNING POINT: 2.5 MILES E TRAXLER AT 243 AM CST
ENDING POINT: 6 MILES NE RALEIGH AT 258 AM CST
RATING: EF2, MAX ESTIMATED WINDS 125 MPH
PATH LENGTH: 11 MILES
MAXIMUM WIDTH: 0.3 MILE
FATALITIES: 0
INJURIES: 0

SUMMARY OF DAMAGE: AT ITS WIDEST POINT THE TORNADO PRODUCED
SUBSTANTIAL DAMAGE TO A BRICK HOME...REMOVING HALF OF THE ROOF AND
SEVERELY DAMAGING THE REMAINING HALF. THE WALLS OF THE HOME FELL IN
THE SECTION OF THE HOUSE WHERE THE ROOF WAS REMOVED. SEVERAL OTHER
HOUSES RECEIVED MINOR TO MODERATE ROOF DAMAGE. NUMEROUS SHEDS AND
SMALL BARNS WERE DESTROYED OR DAMAGED. TIN ROOFING AND SIDING WAS
REMOVED FROM A STORAGE SHED...SOME OF WHICH BECAME PROJECTILES THAT
WERE FORCED THROUGH THE WALLS OF A WOOD FRAME HOUSE. A MOBILE HOME
WAS BLOWN FROM ITS FOUNDATION. WIDESPREAD TREE DAMAGE OCCURRED.


COUNTY/COUNTIES: OKTIBBEHA
BEGINNING POINT: 1.5 MILES SW STARKVILLE AT 1108 PM CST
ENDING POINT: STARKVILLE AT 1109 PM CST
RATING: EF2, MAX ESTIMATED WINDS 115 MPH
PATH LENGTH: 1.5 MILES
MAXIMUM WIDTH: 200 YARDS
FATALITIES: 0
INJURIES: SOME MINOR INJURIES

SUMMARY OF DAMAGE: INITIAL DAMAGE WAS ROOF AND SIDING DAMAGE TO A
CHURCH ALONG LYNN LANE. THE TORNADO MOVED NORTHEAST THROUGH AN AREA
OF APARTMENT BUILDINGS, CAUSING MINOR TO MODERATE ROOF DAMAGE TO A
NUMBER OF BUILDINGS, AS WELL AS DOWNING SEVERAL TREES. THE TORNADO
THEN MOVED INTO THE PINES TRAILER PARK, WHERE IT DESTROYED A NUMBER
OF MOBILE HOMES. TWO LARGE MOBILE HOMES WERE ROLLED AND DESTROYED,
AND SEVERAL MOBILE HOMES WERE MOVED A SUBSTANTIAL DISTANCE AND
DESTROYED. NUMEROUS LARGE PINE TREES WERE SNAPPED NEAR THE BASE,
WITH SEVERAL LANDING ON MOBILE HOMES CAUSING MAJOR DAMAGE. NUMEROUS
UTILITY LINES WERE SNAPPED AND DOWNED, AND A COUPLE OF POLES WERE
DOWNED. THIS WAS THE LOCATION OF MAXIMUM DAMAGE. THE TORNADO THEN
MOVED NORTHEAST ACROSS LOUISVILLE ROAD, CAUSING ROOF DAMAGE TO
SEVERAL HOMES AND CONTINUING TO SNAP TREES. IT MOVED THROUGH
ANOTHER TRAILER PARK, BLOWING OUT THE SKIRTING ON SEVERAL MOBILE
HOMES AND CAUSING MINOR ROOF AND STRUCTURAL DAMAGE TO A COUPLE. AS
THE TORNADO PASSED THROUGH THE EAST SIDE OF THE STARKVILLE HIGH
SCHOOL COMPLEX, IT TWISTED SOME LIGHT STANDARDS ON THE ATHLETIC
FIELDS AND CAUSED SOME MINOR FENCE DAMAGE. IT THEN CROSSED YELLOW
JACKET DRIVE, BLOWING OUT A PORCH ON A RESTAURANT AND CAUSING SOME
MINOR ROOF DAMAGE. AS IT CROSSED HIGHWAY 12, IT BLEW DOWN A COUPLE
OF TRAFFIC LIGHTS, BLEW OUT A BUSINESS SIGN, AND DAMAGED ANOTHER
PORCH ON A RESTAURANT. THE TORNADO SNAPPED A FEW TREES AND CAUSED
SOME SHINGLE DAMAGE TO A COUPLE OF HOMES ON SOUTH MONTGOMERY STREET,
AND THEN APPEARS TO HAVE DISSIPATED. THE TORNADO WAS RATED EF2
BASED ON THE SMALL AREA OF THE MOST INTENSE DAMAGE IN THE PINES
TRAILER PARK; THE REMAINDER OF THE DAMAGE WAS GENERALLY EF1 IN
NATURE.

Classic Cold Weather Severe Setup On The Way.

Well do not read to much into the cool temps this morning. While some areas where in the upper 40s and low 50s it is all going to change later tonight. The SPC has most all of West Alabama in a Slight Risk (click title for latest outlooks). While Most all of Mississippi could see damaging tornadoes today. It looks as if when the system moves in to the Tennessee Valley we will be dealing with a QLCS System. The temps tonight will climb into the low 60s as the warm front lifts northward ahead of the potent Cold Front. For us across North Alabama DO NOT LET YOUR GUARD DOWN because the weather could turn for the worse very fast. Most models are showing the worst of the tornadic weather in Mississippi and down towards the Birmingham area could also see tornadoes. With that said the Helicity Values are off the charts and could support rotating updrafts if they form so the SPC has most of West Alabama in a 5% Tornado Risk, but we are not expecting a major tornado outbreak, but a warning or two is possible. Stay weather aware because most of this will be coming in after midnight. The NWS in Huntsville is not activating Storm Spotters at this time.




7am SB Cape

1AM SB Cape

7am 3km Helicity

1am 3km Helicity

Noon Tuesday

Severe Chances going Up!!!

Well after a little warm up over the last couple days we are going to see some cold temps once again as a strong cold front will move through the State on Tuesday. Ahead of the front we will see the chance for strong to severe thunderstorms beginning after midnight on Monday and continuing into the day on Tuesday. While as of right now it looks as if the better Parameters for severe storms are to the south of the Tennessee River we could still see a warning or two across North Alabama as well. The development of the warm sector and the deep layer moisture will need to be watched to see how this system plays out and just how far north the warmth can expand. The upper trough is certainly strong, so the development of severe weather will depend on how other parameters come together. The SPC right now has a slight risk area to our Southwest that covers all of Louisiana and much of Central and Southern Mississippi as well as a small portion of Southwest Alabama. This is our secondary tornado season so stay weather aware over the next couple days.
From NWS in Huntsville
A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL ACCOMPANY A COLD FRONT AS IT CROSSES
THE AREA LATE MONDAY NIGHT AND EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. SOME
THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE SEVERE...WITH DAMAGING WINDS AS THE
PRIMARY THREAT.

BEHIND THE FRONT...MUCH COLDER AIR WILL BRING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW TO THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF SOUTHERN MIDDLE TENNESSEE AND
NORTHEAST ALABAMA TUESDAY NIGHT. NO ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED.
Spotter activation is not expected at this time for the NWS Huntsville forecast area

From NWS in Birmingham
THERE IS A CHANCE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...INCLUDING THE THREAT OF
TORNADOES...ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA ON TUESDAY...ASSOCIATED WITH THE
PASSAGE OF A COLD FRONT. BECAUSE OF THE SMALL WINDOW OF OPPORTUNITY
DURING THE HEAT OF THE DAY...AND UNCERTAINTY AS TO THE TIMING OF THE
FRONT...THERE IS STILL A LOW DEGREE OF CONFIDENCE WITH THIS SEVERE
WEATHER THREAT.
Spotter activation may be needed for the BMX NWS forecast area on Tuesday


1pm Tuesday 3km Helicity

ML CAPE 7am Tuesday

10 Am Tuesday STP

10 am Tuesday Supercell Composite

10am Tuesday Significant Severe Index

1pm Tuesday Front Forecast Location

Strong Storms Possible Late Thursday Night Into Friday Morning.

Well another severe weather outbreak is on going to our west tonight. Although a tornado watch is in effect until 4am tomorrow morning, there has been no tornadoes confirmed at this time per the NWS. Tomorrow we can expect near record temps as highs will be in the upper 70s. While we could see a rouge shower or 2 tomorrow the day should be relatively dry. A very potent cold front that is causing all the headaches to our west will push into the area bringing rain and some pretty strong storms with it after midnight. Although we are not really expecting a severe weather outbreak, but some strong storms are a good bet(but expect the unexpected). All the models below are valid at 1am Friday morning. So stay tuned during the day tomorrow for updates and have a HAPPY THANKSGIVING.

Current TW

Supercell Composite 1am

STP 1am

Significant Hail Parameter

3km Helicity

SB Cape 1am

1am

2 Tornadoes Confirmed in Mississippi on Tuesday

PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
505 PM CST TUE NOV 23 2010

...TORNADOES CONFIRMED IN SIMPSON COUNTY BY NWS SURVEY TEAM...

TORNADO #1...
COUNTY/COUNTIES: SIMPSON
BEGINNING POINT: 2 MILES NW HARRISVILLE AT 1030 AM CST
ENDING POINT: 1 MILE SSW BRAXTON AT 1050 AM CST
RATING: EF1, MAX ESTIMATED WINDS 100 MPH
PATH LENGTH: 8 MILES
MAXIMUM WIDTH: 150 YD
FATALITIES: 0
INJURIES: 0

SUMMARY OF DAMAGE: THE TORNADO APPEARS TO HAVE BEGUN NEAR HIGHWAY
469 JUST NORTHWEST OF THE HARRISVILLE COMMUNITY. THE TORNADO MOVED
EAST NORTHEAST, DOWNING NUMEROUS TREES, SOME POWERLINES, AND DAMAGED
SOME FENCES. THE MOST INTENSE DAMAGE WAS ON DEER CAMP ROAD, WHERE A
LARGE NUMBER OF TREES WERE UPROOTED AND SNAPPED, POWERLINES WERE
DOWNED, AND ONE POWER POLE WAS SNAPPED. AS THE TORNADO APPROACHED
BRAXTON, IT CAUSED ROOF DAMAGE TO ONE HOME, AND DAMAGED OR DESTROYED
SEVERAL OUTBUILDINGS. THE TORNADO DISSIPATED JUST SOUTH SOUTHWEST
OF BRAXTON BEFORE CROSSING HIGHWAYS 149/49.

TORNADO #2...
COUNTY/COUNTIES: SIMPSON
BEGINNING POINT: 2 MILES NE MARTINSVILLE AT 1135 AM CST
ENDING POINT: 3.5 MILES ENE MARTINSVILLE AT 1140 AM CST
RATING: EF1, MAX ESTIMATED WINDS 95 MPH
PATH LENGTH: 2.5 MILES
MAXIMUM WIDTH: 75 YARDS
FATALITIES: 0
INJURIES: 0

SUMMARY OF DAMAGE: THE INITIAL DAMAGE WAS NOTED NEAR THE
INTERSECTION OF WARREN AND WARREN COOK ROADS, WHERE SEVERAL TREES
WERE DOWNED. THE TORNADO MOVED EAST AND CAUSED ITS MOST INTENSE
DAMAGE NEAR THE INTERSECTION OF WARREN COOK AND COLE ROADS. A
CHICKEN HOUSE WAS NEARLY DESTROYED, TWO OTHER CHICKEN HOUSES
SUSTAINED SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE, A ROOF WAS BLOWN OFF A MOBILE HOME,
A FEW OTHER HOMES SUSTAINED SOME ROOF DAMAGE, AND NUMEROUS TREES
WERE SNAPPED OR UPROOTED. THE TORNADO THEN CAUSED ROOF DAMAGE TO
A HOUSE ON BILL COLLINS ROAD. THE TORNADO APPEARS TO HAVE
DISSIPATED JUST AFTER CROSSING HIGHWAY 540, WHERE A COUPLE OF PINE
TREES HAD THEIR TOPS BLOWN OFF AND SOME LIMBS WERE BLOWN DOWN.

THREE LARGE TREES WERE ALSO BLOWN DOWN ALONG HIGHWAY 541 JUST NORTH
OF THE MARTINVILLE COMMUNITY; HOWEVER, THIS DAMAGE APPEARED TO BE
STRAIGHT LINE WIND DAMAGE.

Spotter Activation Possible on Thanksgiving Night

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
812 PM CST TUE NOV 23 2010

ALZ001>010-016-TNZ076-096-097-241100-
LAUDERDALE-COLBERT-FRANKLIN AL-LAWRENCE-LIMESTONE-MADISON-MORGAN-
MARSHALL-JACKSON-DEKALB-CULLMAN-MOORE-LINCOLN-FRANKLIN TN-
812 PM CST TUE NOV 23 2010

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH ALABAMA AND PORTIONS
OF SOUTHERN MIDDLE TENNESSEE.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT...

RECENT RAINS...CLEARING SKIES...AND LIGHT WINDS WILL ALLOW DENSE TO
DEVELOP THIS EVENING AND LINGER INTO THE EARLY MORNING HOURS ON
WEDNESDAY. VISIBILITY AT TIMES WILL BE REDUCED TO ONE QUARTER OF A
MILE OR LESS...ESPECIALLY AFTER MIDNIGHT. MOTORISTS SHOULD USE LOW
BEAMS AND ALLOW EXTRA DISTANCE TO STOP.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY...

PATCHY FOG WILL LIFT AFTER 9 AM. THEN ISOLATED TO SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AS A WARM FRONT MOVES
NORTHWARD.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL AGAIN BE POSSIBLE LATE THURSDAY INTO
THURSDAY NIGHT AS A STRONGER COLD FRONT APPROACHES THE REGION. SOME
STORMS COULD BE SEVERE...WITH DAMAGING WINDS THE GREATEST THREAT.
THE SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL END FROM WEST TO EAST
ACROSS THE AREA FRIDAY MORNING...WITH MUCH COLDER AIR RETURNING TO
THE TENNESSEE VALLEY.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IS
POSSIBLE ON THURSDAY NIGHT.

Caledonia Illinois Tornado EF2

This is the tornado that flipped the school bus. Photo via WREX in Rockford.
The tornado touched down at approximately 3:04 pm ¼ mile southwest of the intersection of Argyle and Harlem Roads. A school bus was rolled by the tornado winds where 6 people were injuried, fortunately those injuries were minor. The tornado crossed the path of high tension lines that run just west of Argyle and 11 towers were downed. The tornado moved northeast into Caledonia – damage there included significant damage to around 6 buildings, with approximately 20 additional buildings sustaining minor damage. Several large trees were snapped or uprooted. A grain bin was partially collapsed. The tornado continued northeast out of Caledonia with several power poles down across roads. As the tornado crossed various lines of trees in the fields sections of trees were snapped or uprooted. Around 3 farm outbuildings sustained damage ranging from roofs blown off to complete collapsed of structures. One of the 3 outbuildings, located 2 miles northwest of Capron, was also damaged during the January 2008 tornado. Sporadic tree damage continued to the end point where the tornado lifted... 1 mile west of Lawrence at approximately 3:23 pm.

Path width: 200 yards (varied between 50 and 200 yards)

Path length: 16.4 miles

Estimated winds: 135 mph

2nd Wisconsin Tornado Confirmed

From the National Weather Service in Milwaukee/Sullivan
The image is a grab from GR3 at the time the Tornado was on the ground as I tweeted it yesterday as it was happening just over 21 hours ago.

EF1 Tornado - "Union Grove" (more details to follow)
Wind speed: About 90 mph.
Start: 4:01 PM. On Racine/Kenosha County line at intersection of county road KR & 224 Ave
End: 4:12 PM. In Racine County at Intersection of Highway 20 and Interstate 94
Width: 100 Yards
Length: About 8.8 Miles, intermittent path, some straight line wind damage as well
Details: Worst hit was the southwest side of Union Grove. Old Settler's Park had major tree damage. Across from the park, there was roof damage to an industrial building. There was minor residential damage at the intersection of Pleasant Run & Mill Avenue in Union Grove. At the intersection of Hwy 20 and I-94, an RV trailer was ripped in half and a Citgo gas station sustained roof damage. From the Wisconsin Emergency Operations Center: Local officials conducted an aerial damage assessment to determine the extent of damage to the Union Grove area. Racine County officials report that there is widespread damage including the dome over the Union Grove sewer plant and the fairgrounds. Some parts of I-94 were closed during the storm, due to debris and a blown over semi-truck

What A Day!!!

What day for tornadoes across northern Illinois and Wisconsin. The first November tornado to hit Wisconsin since 1971 in Rock County on Nov 1st. The Tornado in Walworth County was rated EF-1 with a width of 100yds and a length of 4 miles. Another area is going to be surveyed today for another possible touchdown. Also a massive long track tornado touched down just NE of Rockford Illinois, and moved NE at nearly 55mph. This tornado is responsible for tossing a school bus loaded with children into a ditch. Miraculously there were no serious injuries to the students but at least 6 was transported to local hospital for minor injuries this via WREX in Rockford. By clicking the title above you will see a youtube video of the tornado taken by Rob Rigsbee. Now lets look at something fun for us around here as well as our weather the next couple days. Tomorrow and on Thanksgiving it will be very warm with highs in the low to mid 70s. A passing showers cannot be rule out on Thursday but the main line of rain and storms will come over night (mainly after midnight). While a strong storm is possible with the line as it pushes through we do not expect a major severe weather event. On BLACK FRIDAY you can expect to wake to temps in the 60s then fall rapidly throughout the day into the 40s and hold there all day. So if you are heading out shopping or to Tuscaloosa for the Iron Bowl you will need to Bundle up and also take the rain gear just in case the rain lingers around. Now Below is something neat to look at around the Dec5th-6th time frame. THIS IS NOT A FORECAST I just want to see your opinions on it because it has shown up on all the runs the last few days and is very consistent in the timing. But with it that far out it may well change so do not read to much into it. Just fun to look at don't you think.

12Z Mon Dec 6th

Mon Dec 6th

Mon Dec 6th

Mon Dec 6th

Sun Dec 5th

Sun Dec 5th

Cold Temps On The Way To The Valley

Well with Thanksgiving and the Iron Bowl coming in the next few days so will the cold weather. While we will be flirting with temps in the mid 70s the first part of the week a strong cold front will bring us a chance of rain Wednesday into Thursday. With the strength of this front most would be afraid of severe weather this time of year as the temps behind the front will be in the 40s and lows in the 20s. This systems bark looks to be worse than its bite. We cannot rule out a few strong storms but as of right now we do not expect an outbreak of severe weather. As you see the critical thickness line for Friday has dissecting the state. So if you go out shopping or to the Iron Bowl you will need to bundle up. Now looking way out there we see another shot of very cold air invading the Southeast by the weekend on December 5th-6th. The GFS is placing an early December snow storm to someone across the deep south on this weekend. Now with that said THIS IS NOT A FORECAST, but just a neat look to what could happen. below is a couple forecast models for that weekend. Stay tuned for more on this possible winter weather event.



Black Friday

Sunday Dec 5 7pm

Sunday Dec 5 7pm

Just Something Neat To Ponder

Well it is that time of year when models change all the time. With that said I just wanted to let you all see what the models are showing for the weekend before Thanksgiving. Now this is not set in stone so do not read much into it as it is 2 weeks away, but it is neat to see the chances already showing up. The winter critical thickness line dissects the state from NE Alabama to SW Alabama. The GFS models shows a heavy snowstorm for area North and West of I-20 as the 540 line is dissecting the state. The precipitation accumulation estimates is showing 2" of precipitation for north Alabama. Remember the rain/snow ratio is 1" rain= 10" snow. Now remember THIS IS NOT A FORECAST just a neat look into the future that will change a 100 times between now and then.

Critical Thickness Nov 20th

0Z GFS Saturday Nov 20th

0Z GFS Fcst precipitation Nov 20th