Threes A Crowd...

Well I guess you can say the tropics are as active as they can be with 3 named storms ongoing at one time. Katia, Maria, and Nate all churning at the same time, and while Katia and Maria pose no threat to the US Coast we will need to watch Nate closely. Again no models are agreeing on the track of Nate as you can see. The NHC official track takes him into Mexico as a hurricane, but to far south to help the major drought stricken areas of Texas and they need the help badly. Some other models have Nate almost stationary then moves either into the Northern Gulf or into Mexico. Over the last few days the ECMWF had Nate coming into the Biloxi Ms/ Mobile Bay area, but now it is also on board with the GFS and goes into Mexico. We do note the latest 12z Canadian moves Nate rapidly to the Gulf Coast near Mobile Bay late in the weekend with more wind and rain for Alabama Sunday night and Monday. This model is rarely persistent or correct and is the usual outlier and hardly trusted. So stay tuned for the latest on this and all other breaking weather information.

Nate Intensity Map

Spaghetti plots

NHC Official Track

Spaghetti Plots

Broad Atlantic Look