Fall Chasin in the Ark/La/Tex

Still waiting on some more information on the dynamics of the system. Tomorrow looks to be a big day out in portions of Texas and Oklahoma as some tornadoes are possible. As the system moves eastward we could see some severe weather including tornadoes in portions of Arkansas, Missouri, and Louisiana on Tuesday afternoon. While the system will not be as dynamic then as it will be out in the plains severe thunderstorms is a given. Below is the latest SPC outlook and probabilities for Tuesday as well as the STP (significant tornado parameter) for 4pm Tuesday and the Significant Severe threat for the same time. The STP is at 2 units which for a fall setup is pretty high. Stay tuned for chase details
Day 3 Probabilities

Day 3 outlook

Sig Svr

STP