Wet End To Our Weekend

Well it is shaping up to be a beautiful Friday as we all either shop for those deals or get ready for some college football. Highs today will be in the mid to upper 60s so enjoy it because it is about to fall apart. Our next weather maker is out to our west affecting portions of Texas, Oklahoma, Colorado, and New Mexico today. This area of disturbed weather will impact us as early as 3-4pm Saturday afternoon in North Alabama, and will bring 1-2" of rain with it. This system has decent dynamics but with no surface based instability any thunderstorm that develops will be elevated so severe weather is not anticipated, but some lightning and a few rumbles of thunder is possible. The Low Track model below shows a Low Developing right over Alabama Monday and moving NE. This is based on the ECMWF as the GFS keeps it sunny around here with a slight warm up. The ECMWF has it cool with highs in the 40s and rain and the HPC also is in agreement with the ECMWF with a 3 inch bulls eye just north of the Tenn/Ala line near Fayettville valid Tomorrow through 12z Monday. This time of year the ECMWF is the one model that stays consistent I use it mainly during our winter seasons (remember all the winter events last winter).


Next System


HPC totals valid through 12z Monday

Low Tracks Through Monday