Numerous Videos of Tornadoes and aerials of Damage Paths

Here is a few videos from around North Central Alabama of the Super Outbreak 2s tornadoes and damage. The NWS is finalizing some of their surveys as well, they are as follows. A couple videos are a little large for the page but we will leave them for you all to see.
#1
DEKALB COUNTY
PRELIM RATING OF EF4(MAY INCREASE)
175MPH PATH LENGTH 33 MILES WIDTH 1/2-3/4 MILE
32 PEOPLE KILLED (AT LEAST)
BEGUN IN THE LAKEVIEW
COMMUNITY NORTHEAST OF GERALDINE. THE TORNADO THEN TRACKED
NORTHEASTWARD GENERALLY PARALLEL AND JUST EAST OF STATE ROUTE 75
THROUGH FYFFE...RAINSVILLE...AND SYLVANIA.

#2
FRANKLIN AND LAWRENCE COUNTIES
PRELIM EF4
175 MPH PATH LENGTH 39 MILES WIDTH 3/4 MILE
41 PEOPLE KILLED
THE PATH BEGAN AT THE SOUTHERN
FRANKLIN COUNTY LINE WITH MARION COUNTY NEAR HACKLEBURG (SEE NWS BIRMINGHAM FOR HACKLBURG INFORMATION)
PHIL CAMPBELL, MT. HOPE, LANGTOWN COMMUNITY NORTH OF MOULTON

#3
CULLMAN/MORGAN (THIS IS THE VIDEO I HAVE BELOW OF THE HULACO TORNADO)
CULLMAN, FAIRVIEW, HULACO
175MPH PATH LENGTH 28MILES WIDTH 1/2 MILE
LONG-TRACK TORNADO WENT SOUTHWEST TO
NORTHEAST ACROSS CULLMAN COUNTY. SOME LIGHT DAMAGE OCCURRED ON THE
NORTH SIDE OF SMITH LAKE ALONG COUNTY ROAD (CR) 310. MORE
SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE WAS OBSERVED TO THE NORTHEAST ALONG CR 222 AND
ALONG CR 436 NEAR GRANDVIEW...WHERE SIGNIFICANT STRUCTURAL DAMAGE
OCCURRED TO SEVERAL RESIDENCES AND NUMEROUS LARGE TREES WERE
SNAPPED.

THE TORNADO CONTINUED TO TRACK NORTHEAST TOWARD THE TOWN OF CULLMAN
WHERE SOME OF THE WORST DAMAGE OCCURRED JUST NORTHEAST OF HIGHWAY
31 AND 278. SEVERAL SMALL RETAIL BUILDINGS WERE COMPLETELY
DESTROYED ALONG WITH NEAR TOTAL DESTRUCTION OF A LARGE CHURCH. THE
TORNADO CONTINUED ITS TRACK NORTHEAST CROSSING HIGHWAY 157 THEN
CREATING ADDITIONAL DAMAGE NORTH OF HIGHWAY 69 BETWEEN SIMCOE AND
PLEASANT VIEW. JUST NORTH OF FAIRVIEW ALONG CR 1559 AND CR
1564...TWO HOMES WERE DESTROYED WITH SIGNIFICANT PORTIONS OF THE
HOMES NOT FOUND. FURTHER NORTHEAST ALONG CR 1589...MAJOR STRUCTURAL
DAMAGE OCCURRED TO SEVERAL OLD (EARLY 1900S) HOMES AND NUMEROUS
HARDWOOD TREES WERE DEBARKED. OUTSIDE OF THE CITY OF CULLMAN...
SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE OCCURRED IN A 1/4-1/2 MILE WIDE CORRIDOR NORTH OF
HIGHWAY 69...BETWEEN FAIRVIEW AND THE CULLMAN/MORGAN COUNTY LINE.

THIS TORNADO CONTINUED INTO EXTREME SOUTHEAST MORGAN COUNTY WHERE
WIDESPREAD SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE OCCURRED AROUND THE HULACO COMMUNITY.

Hulaco tornado in Morgan county Alabama. This is the same tornado that hit the city of Cullman moments earlier


Tuscaloosa tornado from Severe Studios Chaser John Brown


Websters Chapel Near Piedmont


Blountsville Tornado


Calhoun County tornado near Ohatchee


Cordova Tornado (Large Multi Vortex)


Cordova damage aerials from ABC3340


Cullman damage aerials from abc3340


Hackleburg damage aerials part 1 from abc3340


Hackleburg damage part 2


Pratt City (Birmingahm Metro)from skylink 3340(possibly EF5)


Concord/Pleasant Grove (concord was hit by the April 8th 98 F5)


Tuscaloos damage aerials 1-4

Wednesday Severe Potential Update!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

The SPC has issued their day three convective outlook(Wednesday),and they already have much of North Alabama under a moderate risk. It looks like all of the ingredients will be there for this to be a potential tornado outbreak much like the one on April 15th across South Alabama.A surface low will form north of Memphis, which will give very favorable low level shear, and it looks like the capping inversion should break by mid-afternoon sometime around 2-4pm (earlier than that across North Mississippi) with scattered supercells forming over North and Central Alabama, which will have potential for large hail, damaging wind, and a few tornadoes. Based on the forecast parameters, a few strong, long track tornadoes will be possible Wednesday afternoon and Wednesday evening. But we must look at Tuesday first as you can see from the SPC outlook has us under a 30% probability which is still in the slight criteria. While we will most likely see a squall line push in during the pre dawn hours on Tuesday do not expect it to stabilize us to much as the risk is for tomorrow afternoon. Our BIG weather day still will be on Wednesday, as the Supercell parameter, STP, and Severe Hail parameters are near Maxed out. Make sure your NOAA weather radio handy over the next 2 days. Now lets take this with a grain of salt as well because on the 15th the SPC started with a MDT risk over much of North Alabama as well and the warm front did not progress to the north and all of the severe weather was to our South, so we will make our changes accordingly. Stay tuned for our chase and stream details over the next 24 hours.


Tuesday severe probability

Tuesday Outlook

Wednesday Outlook

Wednesday Probabilities

GFS SB Cape 1pm Wednesday

NAM SB Cape 1pm Wednesday

3km SRH 1pm Wednesday

3km EHI 1pm Wednesday

Significant Hail 4pm Wednesday

STP 1pm Wednesday

STP New Algorythm 1pm Wednesday

Significant Severe 4pm Wednesday

Supercell Composite 1pm Wednesday

Supercell Composite 4pm Wednesday

Wednesday Severe Potential Update!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Well it looks as if a significant severe outbreak is about to be unleashed across the deep south. As you can see from the model outputs below the GFS and the NAM are not in total agreement on this system so it bares to watch to see who wins out. The NAM is pointing towards another potential tornado outbreak South of highway 278 in Alabama. The GFS as you can see has the bulk of the energy across north Alabama with Cape values near 2000jk/g, and the EHI and SRH numbers are off the charts. The only run of the NAM that is in favor of North Alabama getting in on the action is the STP well over 5 units across North Alabama. So stay tuned as all modes of severe weather is possible including very large hail as you can see from the Severe Hail Parameter output below. We will be out streaming live all afternoon on Wednesday so stay tuned for stream details.

Significant Severe Potential

Significant Hail Parameter 21z Wednesday

NAM SB Cape 18z Wednesday

GFS Sb Cape 18z Wednesday

GFS Cap Strength 18z Wednesday

Supercell Composite 18z Wednesday

STP New Algorithm

STP 18z Wednesday

SRH 18z Wednesday

EHI 18z Wednesday

Ms/Ala tornado confirmation update

Well the NWS is going to be heading out again on Monday to survey additional areas for possible tornado damage in Mississippi and Alabama. We are still awaiting the survey on the Tuscaloosa tornado as well. Below are the list of the confirmed tornadoes and their sizes. 1 EF3, 3 EF2s,6 EF1s, and 2 EF0 in Alabama so far. This list will for sure go up with at least additional EF2s in Tuscaloosa, and possible EF3s in Marengo and Autauga Counties. In Mississippi 2 EF3s, 1 EF2, 4 EF1s, and 1 EF0s so far.



Alabama Outbreak

GAINESTOWN, ALABAMA (SOUTHERN CLARKE COUNTY)
EF2

TUNNEL SPRINGS/OLD TEXAS AREA NE MONROE COUNTY
EF3

FORREST HOME NW BUTLER COUNTY
EF0

SHERLING LAKE AREA N BUTLER COUNTY

EF1

Geiger (Sumter)
EF-2
135 mph
8.6 miles long
1 mile wide


Cuba (Sumter)
EF-2
115 mph
8.9 miles long
200 yards wide

Alabaster (Shelby)
EF-0
70 mph
1.36 miles long
50 yards wide

Wilsonville (Shelby)
EF-1
85-90 mph
4.25 miles long
100 yards wide


Paul M. Grist State Park (Dallas)
EF-1
90 mph
0.1 miles long
75 yards wide

Marion Junction (Dallas)
EF-1
90 mph
0.2 miles long
100 yards wide

Selma (Dallas)
EF-1
90 mph
0.8 miles long
100 yards wide


Mulberry (Autauga)
EF-1
90 mph
2.0 miles long
300 yards wide

Mississippi Outbreak


Hinds County (Clinton/Jackson)
4.5 SW Clinton to 2 SE Ridgeland 10:51 am -
11:17 am EF-3 Tornado
140 mph 10 injuries 17 mi 3/10 mi

Rankin County
1.5 SW Sand Hill to 5 SW Ludlow 11:43 am -
11:53 am EF-1 Tornado
95 mph none 7.5 mi 200 yds

Scott/Leake counties
2 S Ludlow to 1.5 NW Lena 11:58 am -
12:07 pm EF-1 Tornado
100 mph none 6.5 mi 200 yds

Neshoba/Kemper counties
3.5 ESE Tucker to 6.5 E Scooba 12:53 pm -
1:45 pm EF-3 Tornado
140 mph at least 5 injuries 38.5 mi 3/4 mi

Rankin/Smith counties
2 SE Puckett to 5 E Puckett 1:47 pm -
1:52 pm EF-1 Tornado
90 mph none 3.7 mi 100 yds

Attala County
1 SW Possumneck to 2 E Possumneck 2:22 pm -
2:25 pm EF-2 Tornado
120 mph 2 injuries 3 mi 200 yds

Smith/Scott/Newton counties
6 NNE Pineville to 7 SW Newton 2:23 pm -
2:34 pm EF-1 Tornado
100 mph none 6.7 mi 150 yds

Attala County
3 E Hesterville to 6 NW Ethel 2:33 pm -
2:38 pm EF-0 Tornado
75 mph none 4 mi 75 yds

Whoops SPC!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Well let me start by saying that in my opinion the SPC blew it on Friday. They blew it in 2 ways, 1) by issuing a slight/mdt risk for portions of North Alabama. 2) by issuing a MDT risk instead of a HIGH risk for Central and Southern Ala with 57 tornado reports (some will be multiple) but you get the Idea.

Now I question myself "did I miss the biggest tornado outbreak of the year. To date Yes but for the seasons, it is possible. Now I did not miss it due to not chasing I just chased in the wrong area due to bad advice from professionals that get paid to give weather advice. I was constantly told that we would still see supercells after the morning rains and the sun came out. Development across North Alabama as the front pushed eastward was to be a given. WRONG, because when I was told this I was licking my chops because if I could save a little gas ($3.80 per gallon) and chase local and still get some decent storms. Now I am not the least bit miffed that I did not get anything yesterday, because I chose to chase north Alabama although it was on bad advice. Yesterday the SPC did not stand for (STORM PREDICTION CENTER) IT STOOD FOR (SORRY POOR CALCULATIONS). Now I do not fault the locals on TV because they basically go by the SPC forecasts as well. But I will say this THIS IS THE LAST TIME I LISTEN TO OTHERS. Now to the Slight/MDT Risk for North Alabama the risks should have been dropped after the early morning rains. So if I had to compare the way the SPC handled the event I would compare it to the Air Traffic Controllers that have been falling asleep in the towers at these major airports. Congrats to friends of mine Brett Adair on the intercepts he got yesterday and to fellow Tennessee Valley Storm Tracker David Ruffini on getting his first wedge tornado in Tuscaloosa His photo is below and you can follow him and see his video on facebook.com/Severe Troposphere. You can follow Brett and see his video from Friday at Alabamastormtrackers.com. Thanks to all who follow us, and we will see you on the next storm.

Here We Go!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Well as of right now the SPC maintains the moderate risk of severe weather for the western two-thirds of North and Central Alabama, and the eastern half of Mississippi that they issued earlier today. The outlook suggests a 45 percent chance of severe weather within 25 miles of any given point within that moderate risk. We are awaiting to see if the SPC will upgrade any portion of the Moderate risk to a HIGH risk or at the least a PDS (Particularly Dangerous Situation) Tornado Watch. Notice the output models of the upper Low and the Surface Low are vertically stacked right over Wichita Ks. All modes of severe weather will be in play for North Alabama. The Squall line as you can see will be right on the state line around 3pm and the in the Huntsville Metro by 7 pm. Along this line the main threat will be very powerful winds, large hail, dangerous lightning, and isolated tornadoes. Any storm that develops ahead of this line will have the potential to rotate and produce tornadoes. Stay tuned as this severe weather outbreak begins to unfold.
3pm

7pm




Friday Outlook

Outlook probabilities

Upper Low located near Wichita Ks

Surface Low near Wichita Ks.

STP 7pm Friday

0-3km SRH 7pm Friday

RPM SB Cape 7pm Friday

GFS SB Cape 7pm Friday

Severe Wx On The Way Friday!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

OK it is now looking more and more likely that we will have a significant severe weather event unfolding across portions of Alabama on Friday afternoon into the overnight hours. We are expecting Severe Thunderstorms maybe even Tornadic Supercells to develop by mid to late afternoon on Friday as they form ahead of a strong cold front that will push through the state early Saturday morning. While the GFS and the Euro models are beginning to come into agreement the outlier is the NAM as it is a little slower and is suggesting 2 rounds of severe weather, one in the afternoon and one overnight Friday. All modes of severe weather will be possible whether it be within the discreet supercells that are forecast to develop ahead of the line across central and East Mississippi and into West And NW Alabama. Then again with the main QLCS line as it moves in although the main threat with the line will be damaging straight line winds, large hail, deadly lightning, and torrential rainfall. Some areas could see locally 2" of rainfall with heavier amounts with the stronger storms. Stay tuned for updates as this event really starts to unfold. Remember to follow us on twitter by clicking the link on the right side of the page as well as on facebook. We will be going live sometime during the day on Friday.



RPM 3pm Friday

RPM 7pm Friday

RPM 1am Saturday

3km EHI 7pm Friday

NAM SB Cape 7pm Friday

GFS SB Cape 7pm Friday

3km SRH 7pm Friday

STP 7pm Friday

More Severe Wx On The Way!!!

Well as another severe weather event unfolds across the plains on Thursday (already a moderate risk) we will have to watch it closely. As you can see the SPC has all of Alabama in a slight risk on Friday, but if you will also notice the probabilities are at 30% hatched so it very well could be upgraded to a moderate risk for our area again. Once again the models have trended slower and it looks like the main time frame will be from 1pm Friday afternoon in NW Ala/1am Sat Morning into NE Ala. With it coming in that late in the afternoon and evening our tornado threat does not look impressively high, as it looks like we will be dealing with a squall line event much like this past Monday with straight line winds the primary threat, although hail and isolated tornadoes along the line cannot be ruled out. A stacked low (from the surface to 20,000 feet) will be near Kansas City by midday, and convection will break out in the warm sector to the south during the morning hours over parts of the ArkLaTex region and into Mississippi then move into Alabama later in the day. Stay tuned as this event is beginning to take shape.


Thursday Convective Outlook

Friday Convective Outlook

Friday Probability

Thursday Probability

EHI 7pm Friday

GFS SB Cape 7pm Friday

NAM SB Cape 7pm Friday

SRH 7pm Friday

Front Position 1 am Friday