Tonights Severe Potenial

Ok some may look at the models below and think we are in trouble. EHI at 3.48 near Russelville, Cape values near 1000 j k/g,among other factors. That is not the case at all. Yes we are expecting a few strong to severe storms later this evening and tonight and a few isolated tornadoes are possible especially with the SRH values near 310 m2/s2 or higher. That is more than enough to support any rotating updrafts that may form. We are not looking for a major tornado threat but cannot rule out 1 or 2 warnings,but large hail, strong straight line winds, and dangerous lightning is the main threats today. We are under a slight risk today, but no need to really worry. We have another system tomorrow night and are also under a slight risk then as well. It looks a bit stronger than the one today, but looks weaker than it did this time yesterday and I will touch on it later tonight or tomorrow morning once we get this one out of here.
NAM SB CAPE 6pm tonight

Hail size potential

EHI 6pm tonight

STP 6pm tonight